NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	84		Excitement	5.0 [829]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +13.4%
San Antonio Spurs	93		Comeback	1.4 [1254]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -11.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.03	0.00	10	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	14	53%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04
Jason Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	9	56%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	16	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	11	39%	-0.04	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	16	57%	0.16	1	-0.02	12	75%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	8	76%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	16	54%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.4	27.6	16.4	27.5	1.6	30.0	126.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +13.0%

SAS +17.0%

SAS +10.7%

SAS +7.0%

SAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	16.3	16.1	15.4	94.4	104.5	104.5
season	15.7	16.2		103.3	107.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		98.9	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	17.2	15.5	16.5	16.3
SAS	15.3	17.9	15.8	15.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	31	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-13	17	14.9	17.0	-2.10	15.7	16.3	-0.54
Jason Hart	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	16.2	16.4	-0.13	16.5	15.5	1.00
Elton Brand	72	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-7	5	15.8	18.1	-2.21	15.9	17.0	-1.12
Daniel Ewing	34	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-5	1	16.4	16.2	0.13	15.5	16.5	-1.00
Tim Thomas	54	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-7	5	15.1	18.1	-2.99	15.7	16.7	-0.98
Corey Maggette	76	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	15.8	19.1	-3.29	15.8	17.7	-1.82
Cuttino Mobley	61	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	3	-15	17.4	13.7	3.68	16.2	15.8	0.39
Chris Kaman	62	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	9	-27	17.9	12.5	5.44	17.0	14.0	3.05

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	69	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-5	19	15.4	18.3	-2.92	16.6	15.3	1.23
Bruce Bowen	47	48	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	-2	13	16.6	15.6	0.98	17.3	15.1	2.22
Francisco Elson	39	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	2	5	16.3	15.9	0.43	17.9	15.2	2.71
Fabricio Oberto	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	3	3	15.9	16.2	-0.39	15.2	17.1	-1.90
Brent Barry	40	40	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	4	1	15.8	16.3	-0.48	18.4	14.6	3.82
Manu Ginobili	54	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	7	-5	15.4	17.2	-1.83	14.7	18.5	-3.79
Michael Finley	41	42	0.21	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	7	-5	16.5	15.7	0.78	14.8	17.6	-2.86
Tim Duncan	61	63	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	5	-1	16.3	15.5	0.81	16.7	15.2	1.58
Matt Bonner	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	11	-13	14.9	16.5	-1.66	15.2	16.7	-1.51
Robert Horry	13	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	8	-7	17.8	15.8	2.06	15.7	16.4	-0.66
Jacque Vaughn	20	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	14	-19	18.3	15.4	2.92	15.3	16.6	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.9%
LAL 97, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%
GSW 81, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%