inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 81 Excitement4.6 [889] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +13.0%
San Antonio Spurs 94 Comeback1.3 [1025] LVPCalbert Cheaney (GSW): -11.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clifford Robinson0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.010.011070%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Avery Johnson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cherokee Parks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Sean Lampley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jason Richardson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.011148%-0.0100.005100%0.03
Mike Dunleavy-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.051046%0.013-0.05475%-0.00
Erick Dampier-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.01-0.011453%0.044-0.09425%-0.04
Brian Cardinal-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.010.06658%-0.0610.0000%0.00
Speedy Claxton-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.00633%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.001344%0.004-0.1110%-0.01
Calbert Cheaney-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00617%-0.081-0.0300%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.05-0.001173%0.172-0.044100%0.02
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.000.045110%0.0900.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.04-0.03350%0.0800.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.05-0.011951%0.101-0.02333%-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.01-0.01557%0.021-0.02450%-0.02
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0300%0.0000.0020%0.00
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.000.051659%0.053-0.0800%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.01-0.05828%-0.042-0.03250%-0.01
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.00520%-0.052-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.823.316.622.01.625.2116.5
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +53.3%
GSW -5.1%
GSW -4.0%
SAS +5.5%
SAS +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game17.116.615.795.3109.3100.5
season16.115.9100.8100.1
opponent15.815.392.7101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.617.317.818.117.1
SAS15.016.219.116.216.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Avery Johnson660.00-0.500.50-0.186-192512.517.5-4.9714.316.7-2.40
Sean Lampley660.00-0.500.50-0.186-192512.517.5-4.9714.316.7-2.40
Cherokee Parks1718-0.07-0.430.37-0.132-151713.618.0-4.3414.417.1-2.69
Speedy Claxton3030-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-121117.716.80.8516.516.6-0.16
Erick Dampier6160-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-6-117.516.11.3817.514.33.19
Brian Cardinal2424-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.23-1-121118.716.52.1616.016.8-0.73
Jason Richardson6466-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-10-3-717.416.40.9817.114.82.24
Calbert Cheaney4444-0.37-0.13-0.240.07-152-1719.015.04.0017.415.71.67
Nick Van Exel4950-0.39-0.11-0.280.14-185-2317.316.80.5416.916.10.79
Mike Dunleavy6464-0.40-0.10-0.310.07-163-1916.219.8-3.5115.719.1-3.39
Clifford Robinson6062-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.09-11-2-916.817.9-1.0816.416.9-0.48

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili50500.420.080.350.041301317.016.00.9817.516.60.88
Robert Horry26260.410.090.32-0.0315-21714.717.4-2.6418.316.61.66
Hedo Turkoglu51500.380.120.260.09103716.317.0-0.7717.516.51.03
Tony Parker60600.370.130.23-0.1016-31916.217.4-1.2217.416.50.85
Malik Rose41400.290.210.08-0.03112916.316.8-0.5317.416.80.63
Bruce Bowen65640.200.30-0.10-0.0794516.716.10.5616.917.7-0.73
Rasho Nesterovic42420.150.35-0.200.15013-1316.616.50.1416.717.5-0.75
Tim Duncan63620.150.35-0.210.15013-1317.514.13.3316.718.3-1.63
Anthony Carter20190.130.37-0.230.04310-718.316.02.3217.816.90.87
Jason Hart660.000.50-0.500.18-619-2514.316.7-2.4012.517.5-4.97
Devin Brown660.000.50-0.500.18-619-2514.316.7-2.4012.517.5-4.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 97, UTA 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,196.1%
LAL 77, UTA 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.7%
LAC 84, SAS 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.99,1,1,194.7%