inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 97 Excitement4.9 [826] MVPBryon Russell (UTA): +12.7%
Utah Jazz 106 Comeback1.3 [1158] LVPJames Posey (DEN): -8.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Andersen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01965%0.051-0.03887%0.01
Ryan Bowen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.00271%0.0100.003100%0.02
Zendon Hamilton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02844%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Voshon Lenard-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02939%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.00856%0.022-0.06250%-0.01
Nick Van Exel-0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.032348%-0.032-0.02862%-0.02
James Posey-0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.020.031153%-0.042-0.058100%0.05

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.02-0.011271%0.131-0.0000%0.00
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.03-0.016100%0.173-0.0800%0.00
John Stockton0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.02774%0.0600.005100%0.01
Karl Malone0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.011859%0.061-0.02875%-0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00762%0.061-0.032100%0.01
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.02-0.00383%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.010.00367%0.051-0.0300%0.00
John Starks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.01550%0.021-0.0300%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.01828%-0.0600.00250%-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01944%0.003-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.72.425.714.824.41.731.0122.6
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +67.0%
DEN -19.3%
UTA +13.7%
DEN -14.9%
UTA +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENUTANBADENUTANBA
this game16.716.015.6110.2120.5102.3
season16.116.199.7102.9
opponent15.115.2101.9105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.619.214.716.716.7
UTA14.717.616.615.316.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard40390.05-0.550.59-0.167-162315.517.8-2.2714.717.0-2.24
Chris Andersen4645-0.01-0.490.48-0.248-172513.919.8-5.8714.717.4-2.71
Avery Johnson2727-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-8718.416.02.4116.116.00.12
Zendon Hamilton2728-0.26-0.24-0.030.03-101-1117.116.60.5416.715.61.12
Ryan Bowen4142-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.12-6-3-318.615.13.4116.016.00.07
Raef LaFrentz6060-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.11-112-1317.914.23.6516.814.22.60
James Posey7776-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.19-90-915.922.4-6.4315.618.6-3.00
Calbert Cheaney3838-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.05-145-1918.215.72.5017.714.73.03
Nick Van Exel8485-0.500.00-0.51-0.24-90-916.620.0-3.4216.016.3-0.36

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryon Russell59580.60-0.100.700.2512-31515.417.1-1.7117.016.20.87
John Crotty50490.56-0.060.630.0617-82514.717.7-2.9817.615.61.97
Karl Malone75750.490.010.490.2010-11115.817.2-1.4616.418.8-2.38
Jarron Collins48480.340.160.190.0211-21316.515.41.0316.217.3-1.07
John Stockton48480.200.30-0.100.1427-518.013.64.3316.916.60.30
Scott Padgett29290.160.34-0.170.1609-916.315.80.4317.816.21.57
John Starks33330.130.37-0.240.19-211-1315.716.1-0.4217.116.50.52
DeShawn Stevenson40410.040.46-0.410.07-110-1116.015.90.1115.517.8-2.34
Greg Ostertag2424-0.000.50-0.500.09-312-1515.416.2-0.8417.516.41.10
Andrei Kirilenko3435-0.030.53-0.57-0.00-110-1116.315.80.4516.017.2-1.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 81, SAS 940.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
DAL 94, NOH 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,194.1%
MIA 90, ATL 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.1%