NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	5.3 [764]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +26.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Comeback	1.4 [1145]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -10.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	6	80%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	11	55%	0.05	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	36%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toure Murry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	19	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.06	0.05	14	57%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.19	0.09	0.01	22	66%	0.34	3	-0.07	18	72%	-0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	15	63%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.4	32.4	16.7	27.0	3.7	36.2	145.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +50.8%

NYK -2.8%

NYK -2.4%

OKC +3.1%

OKC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	OKC	NBA	NYK	OKC	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	15.1	108.7	120.4	105.2
season	16.0	14.4		106.4	107.8
opponent	15.4	15.4		102.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	16.0	15.5	15.8	15.6
OKC	12.9	16.0	17.3	16.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	11.0	15.8	-4.80	17.0	15.4	1.56
Toure Murry	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	11.0	15.8	-4.80	17.0	15.4	1.56
Cole Aldrich	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	11.0	15.8	-4.80	17.0	15.4	1.56
Jeremy Tyler	21	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-14	16	16.0	15.5	0.46	15.9	15.4	0.54
Pablo Prigioni	41	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-13	14	16.5	15.0	1.53	15.4	15.6	-0.25
Tim Hardaway Jr.	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-5	-2	15.8	15.5	0.22	14.1	16.7	-2.52
Iman Shumpert	43	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-7	2	16.0	15.3	0.63	16.0	15.1	0.86
Amar'e Stoudemire	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	2	-16	16.0	15.2	0.81	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Carmelo Anthony	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-3	-6	15.6	15.9	-0.29	15.6	15.3	0.29
Tyson Chandler	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-2	-8	15.3	16.3	-0.93	16.1	14.2	1.90
Raymond Felton	65	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	2	-16	15.3	16.4	-1.03	15.6	15.3	0.23
J.R. Smith	58	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	15.7	15.5	0.22	15.1	16.2	-1.16

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-1	14	15.9	14.4	1.54	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Kevin Durant	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	2	8	15.8	14.1	1.65	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Reggie Jackson	61	61	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	5	2	16.3	13.9	2.42	15.3	16.4	-1.08
Thabo Sefolosha	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	2	8	15.5	15.6	-0.10	15.1	16.5	-1.46
Derek Fisher	39	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	4	4	14.5	16.2	-1.65	16.0	15.4	0.65
Nick Collison	38	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	4	4	15.1	15.8	-0.66	17.2	14.6	2.63
Kendrick Perkins	47	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	9	-6	15.9	15.1	0.85	14.7	16.7	-2.01
Perry Jones	33	31	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	11	-10	14.1	16.2	-2.13	16.2	15.4	0.78
Jeremy Lamb	35	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	11	-10	14.8	15.9	-1.07	16.1	15.4	0.76
Steven Adams	11	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	13	-14	15.6	15.5	0.16	16.3	15.6	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHX 87, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	94.7%
LAL 97, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%