inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 103 Excitement8.5 [195] MVPRudy Gay (SAC): +16.5%
Sacramento Kings 108 Comeback15.9 [55] LVPMichael Beasley (MIA): -23.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Norris Cole0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.110.090.030.01681%0.151-0.04475%-0.00
Chris Bosh0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03-0.020.03-0.021556%0.164-0.132100%0.01
Shane Battier0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01590%0.073-0.0600%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01536%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.03-0.011142%-0.011-0.03450%-0.05
Udonis Haslem-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00727%-0.0600.0010%-0.03
LeBron James-0.070,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.070.16-0.160.082363%-0.012-0.06683%-0.02
Rashard Lewis-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.02520%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Michael Beasley-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23-0.06-0.18-0.00943%0.043-0.273100%0.03

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.170.170.050.130.011963%0.345-0.183100%0.01
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.030.01683%0.1100.0000%0.00
Quincy Acy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.020.013100%0.071-0.042100%0.01
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.010.01-0.030.050.012152%0.235-0.221070%0.03
Isaiah Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.2,-0.2,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.010.03-0.06-0.021658%0.133-0.13683%0.01
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.01458%0.041-0.054100%0.01
Derrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00540%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Jimmer Fredette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.0010%-0.011-0.0500%0.00
Ben McLemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.00425%-0.063-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.52.628.415.728.32.733.02.516.5156.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +36.4%
SAC +15.6%
SAC +20.5%
MIA -15.5%
MIA -7.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASACNBAMIASACNBA
this game15.015.015.197.2101.9105.2
season15.615.4109.7104.5
opponent14.715.8107.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA15.014.713.719.711.215.0
SAC16.313.013.519.213.815.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rashard Lewis27260.20-0.700.910.26-2-3118.713.74.9913.715.4-1.66
Roger Mason Jr.49490.17-0.670.85-0.1812-172913.916.0-2.0514.015.8-1.86
Shane Battier39400.10-0.600.69-0.086-111713.915.7-1.7315.015.00.03
Udonis Haslem34350.03-0.530.550.26-83-1117.313.93.3514.115.4-1.38
Mario Chalmers8887-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.440-5514.417.8-3.3915.313.32.03
Chris Bosh7271-0.530.03-0.55-0.613-81113.917.3-3.3515.414.11.38
Michael Beasley6462-0.590.09-0.69-0.18-149-2316.213.32.8715.514.31.17
Norris Cole7071-0.640.14-0.78-0.29-127-1915.314.40.9515.314.40.82
LeBron James8789-0.800.30-1.11-0.51-105-1514.517.6-3.1215.015.0-0.02

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Williams54530.76-0.261.020.3514-92315.114.90.2315.614.41.21
Isaiah Thomas83830.73-0.230.970.566-1715.014.70.3114.317.5-3.20
DeMarcus Cousins81820.53-0.030.560.5305-515.612.82.8014.417.3-2.94
Marcus Thornton54540.53-0.030.550.1812-71915.714.31.4016.613.33.28
Rudy Gay80810.430.070.360.55-49-1315.413.81.5514.516.8-2.38
Travis Outlaw3030-0.010.51-0.53-0.227-2913.815.5-1.6915.814.71.04
Ben McLemore5252-0.030.53-0.550.18-712-1914.315.7-1.4013.316.6-3.28
Jason Thompson4444-0.060.56-0.630.11-611-1714.915.0-0.1214.215.6-1.31
Quincy Acy2928-0.140.64-0.79-0.2641313.215.6-2.3917.914.03.86
Jimmer Fredette2323-0.230.73-0.97-0.20-16-714.715.0-0.3117.514.33.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.21,0.09,0.41,0.46,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 98, NJN 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.51,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.25,0.07,0.1,0.28,0.46,0.61,0.85,0.85,0.92,189.0%
NOP 126, PHX 1330.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.24,0.36,0.43,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.9,1,188.7%
UTA 114, SEA 1220.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.91,187.8%