NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	114		Excitement	9.0 [132]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +68.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	122		Comeback	60.0 [16]		LVP	Earl Watson (SEA): -16.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.12	-0.00	7	58%	0.20	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.09	0.04	20	71%	0.38	5	-0.21	5	80%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Jarron Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	18	56%	0.15	3	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	18	34%	-0.08	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.07

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.67,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.69,0.68	0.68	0.36	0.36	0.04	32	71%	0.80	2	-0.12	12	100%	0.07
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.21	0.12	0.03	10	83%	0.30	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.13	-0.00	9	50%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.01	4	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	10	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	7	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.07	0.03	9	45%	-0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.8	1.6	25.8	14.8	26.0	2.0	38.0	1.8	16.0	152.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +23.5%

UTA -3.1%

SEA +19.3%

SEA +18.2%

UTA -7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.4	109.6	117.3	104.5
season	15.9	15.4		107.4	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		108.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	13.7	16.8	16.8	15.0	11.6	15.2
SEA	16.3	14.5	14.5	14.4	20.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	45	43	0.59	-1.09	1.68	0.27	11	-19	30	14.8	15.5	-0.73	15.4	15.4	0.02
Paul Millsap	30	29	0.36	-0.86	1.21	0.09	9	-17	26	14.3	15.6	-1.25	15.9	15.2	0.66
Jarron Collins	12	12	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.04	7	-15	22	15.7	15.1	0.63	16.8	15.2	1.64
Gordan Giricek	50	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-6	4	15.3	15.1	0.21	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Ronnie Brewer	5	5	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-1	-6	19.0	15.0	4.00	8.6	15.7	-7.13
Derek Fisher	58	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-8	8	14.9	15.6	-0.67	16.4	14.1	2.37
Mehmet Okur	70	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	4	-16	15.7	14.2	1.51	14.3	17.6	-3.36
Deron Williams	92	93	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	15.5	13.0	2.48	15.4	15.3	0.13
Carlos Boozer	86	88	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	4	-16	15.4	14.0	1.44	15.4	15.4	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	62	63	-1.10	0.60	-1.69	-0.48	-21	13	-34	15.0	15.5	-0.60	15.0	16.0	-1.02

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Brown	20	20	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.30	14	-6	20	15.5	15.3	0.20	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Nick Collison	96	97	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.29	13	-5	18	15.3	15.9	-0.53	15.4	12.7	2.66
Earl Watson	78	78	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.26	14	-6	20	15.0	16.7	-1.69	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Damien Wilkins	72	70	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	0	8	15.7	14.7	1.01	14.5	16.6	-2.03
Ray Allen	85	84	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-2	12	15.3	15.9	-0.62	15.5	13.8	1.72
Chris Wilcox	79	78	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	9	-10	15.4	15.4	0.03	15.4	14.7	0.72
Mickael Gelabale	43	45	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.14	-2	10	-12	15.7	15.2	0.45	15.6	14.9	0.72
Luke Ridnour	34	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	14	-20	15.6	15.3	0.39	15.3	15.1	0.18
Johan Petro	13	13	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	18	-28	15.4	15.4	-0.00	14.2	15.3	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	90.6%
ATL 98, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.28,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.86,0.72,1	90.1%
SAS 87, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.54,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	89.8%