NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	9.8 [88]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +50.5%
San Antonio Spurs	111		Comeback	20.2 [115]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): -30.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.32	0.11	0.24	0.03	14	67%	0.34	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.19
Steve Nash	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.22	0.08	0.13	-0.02	14	71%	0.28	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	70%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	8	25%	-0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	13	31%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.30	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.08	-0.22	0.00	16	47%	0.01	5	-0.31	2	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.12	0.39	0.01	22	59%	0.53	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.06
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.09	0.02	11	100%	0.30	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.07	-0.05	13	39%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	9	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	21	51%	0.09	5	-0.21	9	67%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.5	2.8	28.5	18.0	25.3	2.6	45.0	2.6	11.2	161.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -14.8%

SAS +14.7%

SAS +11.8%

SAS +30.7%

SAS +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	13.1	17.0	15.4	99.1	105.7	104.5
season	13.8	16.2		112.2	107.5
opponent	15.4	16.0		98.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	12.4	12.0	12.3	14.7	16.0	13.1
SAS	15.9	17.5	17.7	16.0	19.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	29	27	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.31	3	-8	11	13.9	12.8	1.08	19.2	16.2	2.99
Leandro Barbosa	79	74	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.14	12	-17	29	13.2	12.6	0.63	16.2	18.7	-2.53
Amar'e Stoudemire	31	34	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-8	11	12.0	13.5	-1.51	16.3	17.3	-0.94
Jalen Rose	14	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	0	-5	10.9	13.4	-2.55	15.2	17.2	-2.06
Kurt Thomas	58	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-6	7	13.0	13.1	-0.09	17.3	16.6	0.73
Boris Diaw	56	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	1	-7	13.3	12.8	0.44	18.7	15.1	3.63
Raja Bell	93	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-3	1	13.2	12.6	0.58	17.2	15.4	1.85
Shawn Marion	95	95	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.51	-8	3	-11	13.0	13.7	-0.67	16.4	22.3	-5.90
Steve Nash	72	72	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.46	-18	13	-31	13.0	13.2	-0.19	16.1	18.8	-2.75

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	81	83	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.36	14	-9	23	16.5	18.5	-2.05	13.2	12.7	0.42
Tim Duncan	80	82	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.32	13	-8	21	16.8	17.5	-0.73	13.2	12.7	0.52
Fabricio Oberto	78	77	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.58	2	3	-1	16.9	17.2	-0.30	13.7	11.4	2.33
Manu Ginobili	65	67	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.48	2	3	-1	16.7	17.4	-0.67	13.3	12.7	0.52
Brent Barry	61	62	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-9	23	16.7	17.3	-0.65	12.8	13.4	-0.60
Bruce Bowen	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	5	-5	17.2	16.7	0.53	13.4	12.7	0.68
Robert Horry	32	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.09	-1	6	-7	17.5	16.7	0.73	11.9	13.6	-1.79
Francisco Elson	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	12	-19	19.2	16.6	2.59	11.8	13.3	-1.49
Beno Udrih	33	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	10	-15	17.8	16.6	1.16	12.3	13.4	-1.07
Michael Finley	32	33	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.15	-7	12	-19	17.1	16.9	0.23	13.1	13.1	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 104, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.24,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.99,1	92.5%
SAS 100, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	90.8%
PHX 83, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.43,0.32,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.91,1	90.7%