NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	83		Excitement	9.5 [80]		MVP	Jake Tsakalidis (PHX): +28.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	12.9 [117]		LVP	Dan Majerle (PHX): -44.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Tsakalidis	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.06	0.21	-0.01	12	65%	0.32	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.06
Alton Ford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	18	52%	0.06	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.33,-0.27,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.09	-0.27	-0.00	26	48%	-0.21	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.04
Dan Majerle	-0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.38,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45	-0.18	-0.26	0.00	9	0%	-0.37	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.24	0.24	0.01	0.23	-0.00	19	51%	0.29	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	57%	-0.00	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	10	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	2	37%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.32	-0.32	-0.11	-0.21	0.00	13	41%	-0.11	3	-0.21	6	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.1	1.7	29.2	15.7	25.1	2.3	37.3	1.6	17.7	150.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +10.0%

PHI +27.4%

PHI +17.7%

PHX -8.4%

PHI +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	17.2	15.4	15.6	85.6	90.8	102.3
season	15.1	15.9		101.0	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		98.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	16.8	16.8	16.6	18.4	17.7	17.2
PHI	18.4	13.9	16.1	14.3	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	22	25	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-11	16	16.8	17.3	-0.49	15.5	15.4	0.12
Anfernee Hardaway	31	32	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-7	8	17.7	16.9	0.80	13.7	16.2	-2.49
Bo Outlaw	43	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-3	0	17.4	17.1	0.32	15.4	15.4	0.02
Alton Ford	19	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-4	2	14.7	17.8	-3.06	13.5	15.9	-2.36
Shawn Marion	76	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-6	6	16.8	18.6	-1.76	16.0	13.5	2.55
Jake Tsakalidis	78	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	17.8	14.7	3.06	15.9	13.5	2.36
Dan Majerle	54	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.39	-3	-3	0	17.1	17.4	-0.32	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	85	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	1	-8	17.4	15.8	1.55	15.5	14.8	0.67
Joe Johnson	68	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	5	-16	17.2	17.2	-0.02	15.6	15.0	0.64

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	73	73	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.40	12	-6	18	14.9	16.9	-1.95	17.1	17.5	-0.46
Matt Harpring	86	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-6	18	14.9	19.5	-4.64	17.5	15.2	2.22
Derrick Coleman	65	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-7	20	16.4	13.6	2.75	17.2	17.1	0.13
Dikembe Mutombo	75	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	0	6	16.3	12.6	3.68	17.6	16.1	1.48
Aaron McKie	59	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	6	-6	15.4	15.5	-0.14	16.9	17.6	-0.63
Raja Bell	16	14	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	0	6	14.3	15.6	-1.33	18.1	17.0	1.02
Derrick McKey	35	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	12	-18	15.2	15.5	-0.31	16.7	17.4	-0.67
Corie Blount	33	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	13	-20	13.3	16.5	-3.16	16.0	17.8	-1.77
Speedy Claxton	16	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	8	-10	20.1	14.5	5.61	17.9	17.0	0.83
Vonteego Cummings	32	31	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.12	-4	10	-14	14.9	15.7	-0.82	17.2	17.2	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.43,0.32,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	91.8%
PHX 106, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	90.7%
NYK 124, LAC 128	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,1	90.7%