NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	104		Excitement	9.5 [87]		MVP	Malik Sealy (LAC): +42.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	110		Comeback	34.2 [50]		LVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): -24.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pete Chilcutt	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.01	6	92%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.10	-0.01	25	58%	0.24	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Chris Robinson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	9	36%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	13	57%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.08	0.04	5	67%	-0.03	5	-0.16	8	75%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25	-0.10	-0.15	-0.00	10	40%	-0.05	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.04	0.37	-0.01	19	51%	0.42	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.01	0.04	15	71%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.08	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	18	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.04
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	60%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Loy Vaught	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	17	45%	-0.10	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	23.2	14.7	25.6	1.8	39.4	1.4	11.5	143.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN -36.5%

LAC +35.1%

LAC +15.0%

LAC +30.1%

LAC +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAC	NBA	VAN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.9	15.6	15.6	106.1	112.2	104.4
season	16.3	15.8		97.9	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
VAN	13.7	20.2	17.1	18.0	16.0	16.9
LAC	13.5	15.0	18.0	15.4	17.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	36	36	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.19	3	-9	12	17.4	16.6	0.86	16.4	15.0	1.37
Aaron Williams	43	41	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.15	4	-10	14	17.3	16.5	0.80	16.7	14.8	1.90
Lee Mayberry	30	29	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.13	4	-10	14	18.9	16.0	2.84	16.3	15.2	1.13
Chris Robinson	17	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-6	6	18.5	16.6	1.97	16.0	15.5	0.53
Bryant Reeves	86	89	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-1	-4	16.8	17.5	-0.69	15.3	18.0	-2.70
Roy Rogers	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-2	-2	16.5	17.3	-0.81	14.8	16.4	-1.53
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	67	66	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.50	-7	1	-8	16.9	16.9	-0.05	15.0	16.6	-1.55
Anthony Peeler	82	83	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	3	-12	16.5	18.8	-2.29	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Greg Anthony	68	69	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.46	-10	4	-14	16.0	18.9	-2.84	15.2	16.3	-1.13

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Dehere	26	26	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.58	7	-1	8	14.3	16.0	-1.64	16.5	17.1	-0.59
Rodney Rogers	73	73	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-6	18	15.9	14.6	1.22	17.5	15.2	2.23
Malik Sealy	79	78	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-5	16	15.5	15.9	-0.43	16.9	16.8	0.12
Bo Outlaw	83	81	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-8	22	15.1	17.9	-2.73	17.2	15.4	1.80
Eric Piatkowski	10	12	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	2	2	15.3	15.6	-0.28	16.4	17.0	-0.55
Darrick Martin	64	66	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.10	3	3	0	16.1	14.5	1.65	15.9	19.0	-3.07
Lorenzen Wright	88	87	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	9	-12	15.9	12.8	3.06	16.5	20.3	-3.80
Pooh Richardson	18	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	14	-22	15.2	15.6	-0.47	19.8	16.2	3.60
Loy Vaught	49	49	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.17	-10	16	-26	15.4	15.7	-0.20	16.9	16.9	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.24,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	92.5%
IND 103, CHA 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.22,0.05,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.84,1	89.9%
SAS 100, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	89.8%