NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	9.4 [80]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +47.7%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	18.8 [46]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -33.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	3	43%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	10	61%	0.13	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.05
Al Horford	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	62%	0.11	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02	0.14	-0.14	0.02	32	59%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Jeff Teague	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	12	29%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.48	0.48	0.14	0.36	0.02	24	59%	0.48	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.12	-0.00	9	65%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.12	0.00	13	50%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.34	-0.34	-0.02	-0.29	0.03	17	51%	-0.08	4	-0.26	7	71%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.8	15.8	26.5	2.6	36.3	1.8	16.8	154.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +73.4%

ATL -7.1%

CHI +6.3%

ATL -21.7%

ATL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	17.1	16.1	15.3	102.1	106.3	106.0
season	16.0	14.7		109.4	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.8		103.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	16.6	17.6	17.1	17.0	17.8	17.1
CHI	16.9	15.9	17.2	15.0	15.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	33	33	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.04	7	-10	17	17.5	16.9	0.61	16.8	15.8	0.93
Jamal Crawford	67	69	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.01	7	-10	17	16.3	19.0	-2.71	15.8	17.2	-1.44
Maurice Evans	26	24	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.14	0	-3	3	15.1	17.9	-2.84	16.5	16.0	0.42
Jeff Teague	13	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	7	-17	15.7	17.4	-1.68	13.6	16.5	-2.93
Joe Johnson	86	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-8	13	17.5	14.2	3.29	16.5	13.0	3.52
Josh Smith	52	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.52	3	-6	9	16.9	17.4	-0.53	16.0	16.3	-0.28
Al Horford	88	86	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	4	-11	17.0	18.2	-1.20	16.1	16.4	-0.33
Mike Bibby	59	60	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.59	-4	1	-5	17.8	16.1	1.78	16.3	15.9	0.32
Marvin Williams	56	54	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.39	-16	13	-29	18.3	15.5	2.82	16.2	16.1	0.04

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	80	80	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-8	19	15.8	17.7	-1.88	17.7	14.5	3.18
John Salmons	81	82	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.35	9	-6	15	16.3	15.5	0.76	17.1	17.4	-0.25
Derrick Rose	75	76	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.46	4	-1	5	16.3	15.6	0.69	17.7	15.1	2.58
Joakim Noah	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.52	-2	5	-7	16.4	15.1	1.30	17.5	15.6	1.82
Kirk Hinrich	54	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	0	3	16.3	16.0	0.30	16.6	17.9	-1.24
Brad Miller	41	41	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.11	5	-2	7	15.5	16.6	-1.07	17.4	16.9	0.51
James Johnson	10	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	7	-11	14.9	16.3	-1.39	15.3	17.3	-2.00
Taj Gibson	46	49	-0.53	1.03	-1.55	-0.12	-14	17	-31	16.6	15.7	0.94	15.6	18.8	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.28,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.86,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 114, SEA 122	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.91,1	90.1%
SAS 100, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	89.5%
SAC 78, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.15,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.83,1	89.0%