NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	89		Excitement	7.4 [346]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +24.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	85		Comeback	1.8 [911]		LVP	Cody Zeller (CHA): -19.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.25	0.08	0.17	-0.00	28	55%	0.32	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	5	86%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Perry Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	19	25%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Kendrick Perkins	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	82%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.01	17	45%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	12	56%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	13	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	16	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	5	21%	-0.09	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.7	30.2	14.8	24.8	1.6	36.4	132.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +53.4%

CHA -9.5%

OKC +5.1%

CHA -0.1%

OKC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHA	NBA	OKC	CHA	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.1	98.9	94.4	105.2
season	14.4	15.7		107.8	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.1	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.3	15.8	15.0	15.5	15.6
CHA	17.2	17.8	15.6	15.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	54	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	-1	6	16.4	14.4	1.96	16.3	16.5	-0.15
Kevin Durant	76	75	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.35	1	3	-2	15.5	16.3	-0.79	16.3	16.7	-0.43
Nick Collison	31	32	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	-1	6	14.5	16.2	-1.79	16.2	16.5	-0.30
Thabo Sefolosha	44	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	-4	12	15.3	15.9	-0.64	17.0	15.8	1.16
Steven Adams	31	31	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	3	-2	15.5	15.7	-0.21	16.3	16.4	-0.13
Serge Ibaka	67	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	5	-6	16.1	14.2	1.89	16.2	17.0	-0.84
Jeremy Lamb	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.34	-4	8	-12	15.9	15.3	0.64	15.8	17.0	-1.16
Kendrick Perkins	47	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	0	4	15.8	15.4	0.39	16.5	16.2	0.26
Derek Fisher	36	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	5	-6	14.4	16.4	-1.96	16.5	16.3	0.15
Perry Jones	18	17	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	2	0	16.1	15.5	0.61	17.7	16.1	1.64

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	29	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-7	10	16.2	16.4	-0.20	14.9	16.0	-1.05
Josh McRoberts	60	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.37	9	-13	22	15.9	17.2	-1.28	15.3	16.4	-1.12
Ben Gordon	22	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-4	4	16.7	16.3	0.46	14.7	15.9	-1.19
Chris Douglas-Roberts	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-1	-2	14.9	17.0	-2.05	14.4	16.2	-1.79
Bismack Biyombo	28	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	1	-6	15.3	16.9	-1.59	14.4	16.2	-1.78
Al Jefferson	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-5	6	16.9	15.3	1.59	16.2	14.4	1.78
Anthony Tolliver	64	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-3	2	17.0	14.9	2.05	16.2	14.4	1.79
Kemba Walker	68	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	0	-4	16.3	16.7	-0.46	15.9	14.7	1.19
Cody Zeller	30	28	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	9	-22	17.2	15.9	1.28	16.4	15.3	1.12
Gerald Henderson	61	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	3	-10	16.4	16.2	0.20	16.0	14.9	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.07,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.4%
CHI 102, CHA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.37,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.52,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.02,0	92.3%
HOU 105, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.15,0.04,0.06,0.05,0	92.2%