NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	6.3 [543]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): +20.4%
Charlotte Hornets	95		Comeback	1.3 [754]		LVP	PJ Hairston (CHA): -9.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.13	-0.02	8	65%	0.24	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.02	11	58%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	12	56%	0.12	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.09	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Snell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	19	42%	-0.03	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	18	51%	0.04	0	0.00	9	89%	0.05
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	13	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	8	19%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	18	53%	0.04	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	24.7	15.6	29.2	1.7	29.2	124.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +83.8%

CHA -13.3%

CHI +9.2%

CHA -25.5%

CHA -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.4	15.1	104.1	97.9	104.2
season	15.5	15.6		105.4	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.2		102.6	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	14.8	15.1	13.8	15.2
CHA	13.5	15.9	13.1	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	54	53	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	-2	11	14.8	15.7	-0.95	15.0	13.5	1.47
Joakim Noah	64	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	2	3	14.9	15.6	-0.71	14.7	13.8	0.86
Jimmy Butler	81	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	3	1	14.9	16.8	-1.91	13.8	17.2	-3.40
Nikola Mirotic	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-2	11	15.1	15.3	-0.14	15.4	13.0	2.38
Aaron Brooks	29	29	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	0	7	14.6	15.4	-0.80	16.0	13.7	2.30
Derrick Rose	59	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	7	-7	15.1	15.3	-0.25	13.3	15.9	-2.59
Pau Gasol	76	76	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	7	-7	15.4	14.3	1.12	13.4	18.0	-4.60
Tony Snell	11	10	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	4	-1	15.2	15.2	-0.00	17.8	14.0	3.85
Mike Dunleavy	60	60	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	16.4	13.3	3.09	14.2	14.6	-0.48

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	74	75	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.21	10	-17	27	13.5	17.0	-3.53	15.8	13.2	2.57
Jannero Pargo	1	0	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-5	3	4.0	14.5	-10.46	0.0	15.2	-15.18
Cody Zeller	48	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.25	7	-14	21	12.9	15.8	-2.84	16.0	14.4	1.59
Gerald Henderson	60	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-9	11	13.5	15.8	-2.32	15.4	14.8	0.60
Al Jefferson	67	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-7	7	13.9	15.4	-1.52	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Bismack Biyombo	30	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	0	-7	15.4	13.9	1.52	15.7	15.0	0.72
PJ Hairston	37	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	2	-11	15.8	13.5	2.32	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Marvin Williams	49	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	7	-21	15.8	12.9	2.84	14.4	16.0	-1.59
Brian Roberts	37	39	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	6	-19	15.9	13.4	2.45	14.2	15.8	-1.67
Lance Stephenson	82	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	2	-11	14.5	13.3	1.28	15.1	15.6	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.37,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.52,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 111, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.6%
POR 88, MEM 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
MIA 128, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.42,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%