NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	6.5 [519]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): +17.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	1.5 [745]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -18.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.08	-0.01	5	55%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.01	9	74%	0.18	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	13	62%	0.14	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.08	0.01	10	58%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	14	68%	0.14	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	12	71%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.00	12	68%	0.17	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.02	0.03	11	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.08	0.04	27	48%	-0.04	5	-0.14	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.7	31.0	15.5	29.4	2.5	36.2	142.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +75.8%

POR -3.1%

POR -34.5%

IND +4.1%

IND +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	16.6	15.4	120.7	109.0	104.5
season	15.3	16.7		101.3	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		108.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.5	15.8	17.3	15.1	16.2
POR	15.5	17.6	16.2	16.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	30	29	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-3	14	16.0	16.3	-0.31	16.0	16.8	-0.82
Sarunas Jasikevicius	58	56	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-3	14	15.6	17.3	-1.76	16.6	16.4	0.25
Jermaine O'Neal	67	67	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.35	4	4	0	16.7	14.2	2.50	16.7	16.2	0.49
Danny Granger	63	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	4	0	16.3	15.7	0.58	16.3	17.0	-0.70
Marquis Daniels	17	18	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	1	6	13.6	16.8	-3.21	16.2	16.6	-0.48
Al Harrington	56	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	5	-2	16.1	16.4	-0.28	15.8	18.1	-2.25
Jeff Foster	43	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	8	-8	17.7	14.7	3.06	17.5	15.5	1.99
Jamaal Tinsley	39	43	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	6	-4	16.2	16.2	-0.03	17.0	16.1	0.91
Maceo Baston	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	9	-10	15.0	16.3	-1.34	17.9	16.4	1.55
Stephen Jackson	51	54	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	9	-10	15.9	16.5	-0.56	16.3	16.9	-0.60

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	17	18	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-12	16	16.3	16.6	-0.32	16.2	16.2	0.06
Martell Webster	37	35	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-11	14	15.5	17.3	-1.87	16.7	15.8	0.81
Jarrett Jack	76	74	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-11	14	15.9	20.5	-4.58	16.2	16.0	0.20
Ime Udoka	69	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-5	2	16.7	15.9	0.84	16.3	15.8	0.48
Joel Przybilla	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-5	2	18.0	15.3	2.69	17.0	15.4	1.62
LaMarcus Aldridge	24	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	0	-8	14.0	17.5	-3.44	15.2	16.5	-1.26
Zach Randolph	69	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-5	2	16.9	15.4	1.48	16.5	14.9	1.63
Juan Dixon	41	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	0	-8	16.5	16.6	-0.03	16.0	16.3	-0.24
Sergio Rodriguez	15	15	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	6	-20	21.1	15.6	5.51	14.7	16.5	-1.82
Travis Outlaw	56	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	3	-14	16.4	16.8	-0.38	15.5	17.5	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 99, MIL 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0	92.8%
DEN 111, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.03,0,0	92.7%
OKC 89, CHA 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	92.4%