inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 111 Excitement7.8 [250] MVPGeorge McCloud (DEN): +12.8%
Golden State Warriors 100 Comeback1.9 [507] LVPKeon Clark (DEN): -21.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George McCloud0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.08-0.001059%0.1300.002100%0.02
Robert Pack0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.070.00583%0.151-0.042100%0.01
Antonio McDyess0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02-0.020.02-0.031666%0.206-0.18650%-0.01
Raef LaFrentz0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.011248%0.031-0.023100%0.01
James Posey-0.020,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.02756%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Voshon Lenard-0.120,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.120.03-0.050.092052%-0.091-0.03475%-0.01
Nick Van Exel-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.060.011335%-0.101-0.0300%0.00
Keon Clark-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.11-0.10-0.00841%-0.103-0.12650%-0.08

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.001159%0.0700.0000%0.00
Chris Porter0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.00944%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Adam Keefe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Marc Jackson0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.02-0.090.011658%-0.032-0.056100%0.04
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.001550%0.033-0.124100%0.04
Antawn Jamison0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.08-0.012744%-0.082-0.055100%0.03
Vonteego Cummings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.05-0.00722%-0.131-0.02450%-0.03
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.10-0.070.041145%-0.085-0.1300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.31.031.015.522.52.428.2121.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +56.2%
GSW -11.4%
DEN +11.0%
GSW -7.1%
DEN +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENGSWNBADENGSWNBA
this game14.513.215.5106.796.2100.9
season15.215.0101.495.3
opponent14.915.2104.8104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.212.616.416.514.5
GSW12.911.811.917.013.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raef LaFrentz71720.57-0.070.650.1315-41914.115.4-1.3313.911.62.28
George McCloud57570.440.060.370.2083515.113.81.3413.712.51.25
Nick Van Exel91900.400.100.300.2365114.713.01.7413.213.3-0.13
Robert Pack35360.310.190.120.0783513.315.1-1.8614.312.61.69
Antonio McDyess80790.230.27-0.050.1438-515.411.63.8213.013.7-0.72
Keon Clark57570.200.30-0.100.0847-313.815.4-1.5812.514.0-1.43
Voshon Lenard69680.190.31-0.120.1038-515.113.31.8612.614.3-1.69
James Posey60610.160.34-0.18-0.0783513.615.7-2.1312.713.9-1.21

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adam Keefe2120-0.06-0.440.370.03-3-8511.513.6-2.1312.015.1-3.06
Chris Porter4544-0.17-0.330.150.00-6-5-112.613.6-0.9314.014.9-0.86
Larry Hughes6263-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-6113.712.41.2915.513.02.47
Mookie Blaylock8990-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.08-7-4-312.715.8-3.0714.315.6-1.30
Vonteego Cummings4847-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.19-7-4-313.413.00.4513.715.2-1.41
Bob Sura6868-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.17-8-3-513.512.60.8214.714.20.54
Antawn Jamison9898-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.22-7-4-313.115.2-2.1214.711.73.03
Marc Jackson8990-0.510.01-0.52-0.16-121-1313.710.03.7114.912.22.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 84, MIA 770.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,093.0%
DET 93, TOR 830.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,092.9%
NOP 99, HOU 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,092.9%