NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	99		Excitement	6.6 [475]		MVP	Troy Daniels (HOU): +23.5%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	1.6 [392]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -25.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Babbitt	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	4	112%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.06	0.05	17	65%	0.18	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	11	64%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.06	0.03	10	68%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	10	45%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Withey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jimmer Fredette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.02	19	41%	-0.01	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
John Salmons	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	7	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.13	0.00	4	112%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	38%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kostas Papanikolaou	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	13	33%	-0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	8	45%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.06	0.05	15	49%	-0.04	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.03
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.21,-0.22,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.10	0.04	23	41%	-0.14	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	29.4	15.5	27.5	2.5	30.4	130.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +52.2%

NOP +6.6%

HOU -6.7%

HOU -4.8%

NOP +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	HOU	NBA	NOP	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	14.6	15.1	105.3	97.8	104.2
season	15.8	14.3		106.3	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.2		103.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.7	18.1	16.3	16.5	16.3
HOU	16.0	16.2	13.0	13.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	68	67	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.24	22	-13	35	16.3	16.3	0.03	15.3	12.8	2.44
Anthony Davis	77	77	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.31	12	-3	15	16.4	16.0	0.40	15.2	11.5	3.69
Ryan Anderson	59	58	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-2	13	16.4	16.3	0.07	13.9	15.8	-1.82
Dante Cunningham	67	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	9	-9	17.3	14.0	3.22	13.6	17.0	-3.42
Jimmer Fredette	6	7	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	2	5	14.2	16.5	-2.31	17.6	14.4	3.19
Jrue Holiday	75	73	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	8	-7	16.3	16.4	-0.11	14.3	15.7	-1.34
Luke Babbitt	28	27	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	7	-5	15.0	16.9	-1.89	16.0	14.0	1.95
Jeff Withey	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	7	-5	13.2	16.5	-3.38	13.6	14.7	-1.08
Omer Asik	55	53	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	12	-15	16.3	16.4	-0.09	15.0	14.1	0.94
John Salmons	29	28	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.02	-9	18	-27	16.4	16.3	0.17	13.2	15.2	-2.07

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kostas Papanikolaou	45	45	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-14	19	14.3	14.9	-0.60	16.4	16.3	0.05
Tarik Black	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-6	3	16.4	14.3	2.13	17.3	16.1	1.19
Patrick Beverley	71	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-9	9	14.3	15.6	-1.23	16.5	15.6	0.91
Trevor Ariza	75	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-6	3	14.2	16.4	-2.13	16.6	15.1	1.53
Dwight Howard	67	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-7	5	14.5	14.9	-0.41	16.4	16.2	0.23
Joey Dorsey	24	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-3	-3	15.5	14.3	1.25	16.2	16.4	-0.16
Troy Daniels	34	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-6	3	12.0	16.1	-4.11	15.9	16.6	-0.66
Isaiah Canaan	21	22	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	0	-9	15.6	14.3	1.23	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Donatas Motiejunas	45	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	5	-19	15.7	13.6	2.14	15.5	17.2	-1.71
James Harden	63	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	1	-11	15.3	13.2	2.06	16.6	15.8	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, MIA 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	93.3%
DEN 111, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.03,0,0	92.9%
BOS 105, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.01,0	92.8%