NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	103		Excitement	9.8 [86]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +13.1%
Golden State Warriors	105		Comeback	3.5 [484]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -10.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.02	16	53%	0.17	4	-0.08	6	67%	0.04
Willie Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	93%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,0.05,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	21	45%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,0.1,0.21,-0.11	0.02	-0.11	0.01	20	55%	-0.01	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.11

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.06	0.19	-0.01	17	41%	0.21	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.05
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.00	13	40%	0.06	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.05
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	22	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	20	53%	0.25	5	-0.27	3	100%	0.04
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.10	0.01	5	75%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.10
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.8	28.2	17.8	29.4	7.7	47.6	161.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +13.9%

LAC -3.0%

GSW +46.8%

LAC -14.1%

GSW +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.2	15.2	15.1	104.0	108.2	105.2
season	14.3	14.2		111.0	105.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		102.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.0	15.0	15.3	13.6	14.2
GSW	14.7	16.3	14.1	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	25	23	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.05	8	-10	18	14.0	14.3	-0.31	15.2	15.2	0.01
Ryan Hollins	16	16	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.07	8	-10	18	12.0	14.6	-2.61	15.6	15.1	0.50
Blake Griffin	66	66	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-3	4	14.7	13.2	1.56	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Antawn Jamison	11	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-3	4	13.8	14.2	-0.42	14.8	15.2	-0.47
Matt Barnes	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-2	2	15.6	13.3	2.32	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Jared Dudley	61	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-3	4	13.3	15.7	-2.38	15.4	14.9	0.55
Chris Paul	83	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	-1	0	14.1	14.6	-0.52	15.1	15.5	-0.36
DeAndre Jordan	81	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	10	-22	14.6	12.2	2.41	15.3	14.9	0.32
Darren Collison	38	39	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	4	-10	13.6	14.6	-0.99	15.1	15.3	-0.17
Jamal Crawford	74	74	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.49	-10	8	-18	14.3	14.0	0.31	15.2	15.2	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	68	69	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.47	13	-11	24	15.3	15.0	0.34	13.8	15.0	-1.21
David Lee	80	81	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-8	18	15.2	15.4	-0.18	14.4	13.2	1.25
Stephen Curry	85	87	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-6	14	15.3	14.8	0.43	14.4	12.7	1.64
Klay Thompson	83	85	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-6	14	15.2	15.0	0.24	14.4	12.9	1.47
Harrison Barnes	49	52	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.53	-1	3	-4	15.3	15.1	0.12	14.4	13.9	0.49
Kent Bazemore	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	6	-10	14.1	15.3	-1.26	11.5	14.5	-2.98
Andrew Bogut	56	56	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.08	1	1	0	15.4	14.9	0.57	14.5	13.8	0.63
Hilton Armstrong	2	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	4	-6	12.5	15.3	-2.76	14.3	14.2	0.15
Toney Douglas	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	8	-14	14.8	15.3	-0.43	12.7	14.4	-1.64
Marreese Speights	23	22	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.02	-8	10	-18	15.3	15.2	0.19	14.5	14.1	0.45
Draymond Green	16	17	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.01	-9	11	-20	14.6	15.3	-0.70	13.2	14.4	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.71,0.67,0.98,1	92.2%
DEN 101, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.38,0.45,0.68,0.73,1	91.8%
DET 103, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.36,0.35,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.55,0.58,1	91.7%