NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	111		Excitement	11.6 [32]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +41.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Comeback	34.7 [47]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MIL): -25.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0.34	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.09	0.25	-0.00	12	64%	0.34	0	0.00	4	100%	0.16
Luke Ridnour	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	8	69%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	7	62%	0.15	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	15	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Miroslav Raduljica	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	41%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Brandon Knight	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	20	39%	-0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.29,-0.26	-0.09	-0.16	0.01	21	42%	-0.08	4	-0.18	6	83%	-0.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.14,0.02,0.16,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.41	0.41	0.14	0.27	0.00	25	63%	0.50	4	-0.09	12	92%	0.09
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.14	0.00	8	87%	0.29	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.06	-0.00	12	37%	0.12	1	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	6	38%	-0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.13	-0.01	17	46%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	14	27%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	7	25%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.7	2.4	24.5	14.8	26.2	2.4	35.2	1.6	18.0	152.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +7.3%

CLE +15.6%

CLE +17.8%

CLE +5.3%

CLE +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.1	105.7	110.7	105.2
season	15.7	15.2		101.4	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		106.5	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	17.2	15.3	17.2	16.1	11.0	15.9
CLE	11.2	14.1	14.7	17.4	19.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miroslav Raduljica	34	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	1	-5	17.1	15.4	1.68	13.0	15.5	-2.49
Nate Wolters	37	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-5	7	16.9	15.4	1.58	13.0	15.5	-2.52
Luke Ridnour	44	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-4	5	15.8	16.0	-0.26	13.7	15.3	-1.58
Khris Middleton	97	97	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.34	8	-11	19	16.1	13.4	2.76	14.7	13.3	1.39
Giannis Antetokounmpo	43	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-4	5	15.2	16.4	-1.25	16.3	13.4	2.89
Ekpe Udoh	58	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-6	9	15.2	16.8	-1.64	14.4	15.0	-0.62
Brandon Knight	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	2	-7	15.4	16.9	-1.58	15.5	13.0	2.52
John Henson	72	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	14	-31	16.6	14.5	2.01	15.0	13.9	1.06
O.J. Mayo	72	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	1	-5	15.6	16.6	-1.04	14.8	14.4	0.34

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	66	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-6	15	14.7	14.5	0.20	15.7	16.3	-0.58
Alonzo Gee	66	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-8	19	14.5	15.0	-0.52	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Jarrett Jack	71	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	2	-1	14.9	14.0	0.97	15.9	15.9	0.03
Earl Clark	40	40	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.46	-2	5	-7	14.3	14.9	-0.56	14.5	16.8	-2.22
Kyrie Irving	80	82	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	2	-1	15.2	12.5	2.73	15.9	16.0	-0.10
CJ Miles	59	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	5	-7	14.2	15.3	-1.14	16.2	15.6	0.52
Matthew Dellavedova	33	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	5	-7	13.8	15.1	-1.30	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Andrew Bynum	48	48	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	-1	5	13.4	15.7	-2.37	17.0	15.0	2.06
Tristan Thompson	52	54	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.09	-5	8	-13	16.0	13.3	2.71	16.2	15.6	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.17,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.86,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.28,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.98,1,1	90.0%
CHH 96, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.86,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.74,0.84,0.98,0.99,1	89.7%
NOH 93, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.72,1	89.3%