NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	115		Excitement	8.2 [235]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): +80.2%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	4.8 [247]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -20.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.67	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.67	0.11	0.58	0.02	20	69%	0.81	5	-0.14	5	60%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.01	14	73%	0.24	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.06
Thabo Sefolosha	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	8	53%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	60%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.2,-0.2	-0.03	-0.15	0.03	13	57%	0.02	5	-0.22	9	89%	0.05

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.8	0.80	0.14	0.67	0.01	6	100%	0.80	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.39	0.39	0.26	0.15	0.02	15	87%	0.39	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	14	50%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	22	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	22	47%	-0.02	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	32.2	18.7	26.4	3.6	37.6	148.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.2%

OKC -16.7%

OKC -14.5%

GSW +38.4%

GSW +15.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	GSW	NBA	OKC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	15.1	118.6	114.9	105.2
season	14.4	14.2		107.8	105.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		102.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.0	17.5	14.6	12.1	14.5
GSW	13.2	12.7	13.7	19.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hasheem Thabeet	9	9	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-9	17	12.0	14.8	-2.78	15.4	14.5	0.97
Perry Jones	14	16	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-4	7	15.0	14.4	0.55	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Jeremy Lamb	37	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	0	-1	14.9	14.3	0.55	13.9	15.0	-1.04
Reggie Jackson	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.50	10	-11	21	13.6	15.3	-1.64	16.2	13.3	2.87
Nick Collison	43	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	7	-15	15.0	14.1	0.94	13.4	15.5	-2.06
Steven Adams	27	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	9	-19	16.9	13.6	3.22	13.4	15.0	-1.61
Thabo Sefolosha	69	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.40	1	-2	3	14.1	15.5	-1.32	14.6	14.5	0.16
Russell Westbrook	71	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	2	-5	14.5	14.5	0.09	14.8	13.8	0.97
Kevin Durant	84	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.44	-2	1	-3	14.7	13.7	0.96	14.5	15.3	-0.87
Serge Ibaka	86	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	2	-5	14.2	17.1	-2.89	14.9	12.6	2.24

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	80	75	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	-4	9	14.2	15.8	-1.51	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Stephen Curry	89	87	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.51	-4	5	-9	14.9	12.2	2.72	14.6	14.1	0.47
Klay Thompson	78	76	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	1	-1	15.0	13.0	2.08	14.6	14.2	0.37
Harrison Barnes	50	50	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	-2	5	13.9	15.2	-1.32	13.2	16.0	-2.82
David Lee	73	71	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	1	-1	15.0	13.4	1.67	14.7	14.1	0.56
Jermaine O'Neal	37	35	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	-4	9	14.4	14.7	-0.29	14.5	14.5	0.03
Draymond Green	23	20	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	-1	3	13.7	14.8	-1.12	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Andrew Bogut	61	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	2	-3	14.7	14.4	0.31	15.2	13.6	1.58
Marreese Speights	14	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	6	-11	13.0	14.8	-1.82	15.7	14.3	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.9,0.83,0.74,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	93.2%
MIL 112, WAS 121	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	93.1%
MIN 91, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.93,1	93.0%