NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	120		Excitement	1.7 [1310]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +11.8%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	1.0 [949]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): -6.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.24	0.00	0.13	11	100%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.04	12	65%	0.09	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	10	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	58%	0.05	2	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	10	45%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nando De Colo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.07	11	56%	-0.02	2	-0.01	5	100%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Toure Murry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	58%	-0.00	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.15	0.00	-0.08	9	25%	-0.05	4	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	29.5	16.8	28.2	2.4	25.5	130.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.2%

SAS +6.1%

SAS +7.4%

NYK -5.8%

SAS +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	15.5	15.1	125.0	94.7	105.2
season	15.0	16.0		109.8	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.0		107.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.6	14.5	13.7	18.0	14.9
NYK	18.5	13.2	15.1	15.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	46	46	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.53	35	-4	39	14.4	15.3	-0.95	15.8	15.1	0.72
Marco Belinelli	49	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.42	27	4	23	15.9	13.8	2.07	16.7	14.2	2.57
Boris Diaw	51	50	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.38	25	6	19	14.6	15.2	-0.59	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Tony Parker	52	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.28	21	10	11	14.9	14.8	0.04	14.5	16.6	-2.06
Tim Duncan	50	49	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.21	18	13	5	15.1	14.6	0.49	14.4	16.6	-2.19
Patty Mills	44	42	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	21	-11	14.8	14.9	-0.04	16.6	14.5	2.06
Kawhi Leonard	48	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	24	-17	14.1	15.7	-1.60	15.9	15.1	0.79
Manu Ginobili	50	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.13	9	22	-13	13.1	16.8	-3.77	16.0	14.8	1.18
Jeff Ayres	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	27	-23	16.0	14.5	1.54	14.6	15.8	-1.22
Tiago Splitter	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.31	13	18	-5	13.4	15.3	-1.95	19.0	14.4	4.68
Nando De Colo	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	33	-35	17.6	14.4	3.24	13.2	15.9	-2.69
Cory Joseph	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	37	-43	17.3	14.5	2.83	12.5	15.9	-3.48
Aron Baynes	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	37	-43	17.3	14.5	2.83	12.5	15.9	-3.48

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toure Murry	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-32	33	13.5	15.6	-2.14	14.6	14.9	-0.26
Cole Aldrich	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-33	35	13.2	15.9	-2.69	17.6	14.4	3.24
Amar'e Stoudemire	27	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-24	17	16.6	15.0	1.59	14.1	15.2	-1.14
Tim Hardaway Jr.	35	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-27	23	15.7	15.3	0.36	16.3	14.0	2.26
Beno Udrih	39	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.14	-10	-21	11	15.5	15.4	0.09	13.2	16.0	-2.77
Metta World Peace	65	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-23	15	15.2	16.0	-0.73	14.5	15.8	-1.33
Pablo Prigioni	26	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.34	-20	-11	-9	17.2	14.8	2.40	17.9	13.6	4.22
J.R. Smith	44	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.28	-18	-13	-5	15.7	15.3	0.38	12.9	16.5	-3.55
Iman Shumpert	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.29	-20	-11	-9	15.3	15.6	-0.35	15.8	14.1	1.72
Raymond Felton	49	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.18	-18	-13	-5	14.7	16.2	-1.51	15.6	14.1	1.53
Andrea Bargnani	52	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.38	-26	-5	-21	15.5	15.4	0.14	14.5	15.3	-0.75
Carmelo Anthony	68	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.39	-27	-4	-23	15.6	15.1	0.53	14.4	16.2	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 126, GSW 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
MIL 104, CHI 70	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
DET 113, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%