NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	104		Excitement	1.7 [1249]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +3.5%
Chicago Bulls	70		Comeback	1.0 [1090]		LVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): -8.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	20	50%	0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	12	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	15	48%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	80%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mark Pope	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	11	71%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	61%	0.00	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Tarlac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Khalid El-Amin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	10	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	57%	-0.01	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	13	53%	-0.06	5	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.6	23.9	15.7	23.4	1.5	23.2	115.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +31.2%

MIL +5.5%

MIL +2.6%

MIL +8.9%

MIL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.5	111.8	76.1	100.9
season	14.9	16.4		105.9	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.8		104.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.9	15.2	15.2	16.6	15.2
CHI	16.1	17.5	14.8	15.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	65	65	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.59	36	-2	38	14.4	17.0	-2.55	16.7	14.1	2.57
Sam Cassell	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.54	33	1	32	14.1	17.2	-3.18	15.3	17.1	-1.82
Glenn Robinson	67	67	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.57	34	0	34	14.3	17.7	-3.39	15.8	16.2	-0.32
Tim Thomas	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.35	26	8	18	15.2	15.2	0.08	16.0	15.7	0.32
Scott Williams	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.49	30	4	26	14.5	16.4	-1.89	15.2	17.2	-2.01
Ervin Johnson	28	28	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.26	14	20	-6	16.1	14.8	1.23	18.0	15.0	2.93
Jason Caffey	31	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.17	10	24	-14	18.4	13.6	4.81	17.2	15.3	1.82
Lindsey Hunter	43	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	31	-28	17.0	13.7	3.23	16.2	15.7	0.53
Rafer Alston	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	38	-42	17.5	14.6	2.90	14.7	16.2	-1.56
Mark Pope	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	41	-48	15.5	15.2	0.30	13.9	16.3	-2.46
Joel Przybilla	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	39	-44	13.2	15.5	-2.35	14.2	16.2	-1.93

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Tarlac	28	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-34	34	15.5	16.1	-0.61	16.9	14.5	2.39
Khalid El-Amin	35	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-32	30	15.1	16.5	-1.40	16.7	14.2	2.43
Jamal Crawford	38	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-29	24	15.3	16.4	-1.04	15.6	14.9	0.73
Marcus Fizer	50	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.26	-12	-22	10	15.4	16.5	-1.06	15.3	15.1	0.23
Fred Hoiberg	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-30	26	16.7	15.6	1.10	17.0	14.5	2.52
Corey Benjamin	40	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	-23	12	16.5	15.5	1.06	15.3	15.2	0.13
Metta World Peace	21	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-21	8	15.4	16.1	-0.70	15.4	15.2	0.28
Michael Ruffin	21	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-21	8	18.5	15.2	3.37	13.4	15.7	-2.25
Brad Miller	30	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.39	-22	-12	-10	15.3	16.2	-0.98	14.2	15.7	-1.58
Bryce Drew	44	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.46	-29	-5	-24	15.9	15.9	0.02	13.6	16.7	-3.04
Elton Brand	66	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.40	-28	-6	-22	15.8	16.3	-0.48	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Ron Mercer	60	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.46	-31	-3	-28	16.4	15.0	1.42	14.6	16.2	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 110, SAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.9%
CHI 108, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.5%
TOR 110, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%