NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	113		Excitement	1.6 [1307]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +9.1%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	1.0 [992]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -4.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	70%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	18	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	10	67%	0.06	2	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Walter Herrmann	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	71%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Walter Sharpe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	8	39%	-0.01	4	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	0.00	0.11	16	68%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Courtney Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	20	57%	-0.01	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	-0.10	13	15%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.3	27.4	16.5	20.4	2.7	28.2	119.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.0%

DET +0.2%

DET +12.2%

NYK -0.7%

DET +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	16.9	14.2	15.5	122.8	92.5	106.4
season	16.9	13.8		104.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.1	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.6	15.9	21.1	16.8	16.9
NYK	14.2	14.8	14.1	13.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	61	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.41	30	-3	33	16.7	17.4	-0.75	14.3	14.0	0.33
Antonio McDyess	58	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.32	23	4	19	16.8	17.1	-0.26	13.9	14.8	-0.87
Rasheed Wallace	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.26	21	6	15	16.7	17.3	-0.58	13.8	14.8	-0.95
Rodney Stuckey	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.26	21	6	15	16.7	17.3	-0.58	13.8	14.8	-0.95
Tayshaun Prince	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	8	11	17.5	16.1	1.37	14.3	14.1	0.19
Walter Herrmann	28	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.19	12	15	-3	17.1	16.8	0.26	14.5	14.1	0.36
Will Bynum	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	21	-15	17.2	16.7	0.49	14.7	13.9	0.79
Kwame Brown	25	27	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.15	10	17	-7	18.9	16.2	2.69	15.4	13.7	1.72
Jason Maxiell	34	35	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	23	-19	17.1	16.8	0.26	14.8	13.9	0.87
Arron Afflalo	28	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	30	-33	17.5	16.7	0.88	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Amir Johnson	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	31	-35	13.9	17.4	-3.46	13.2	14.4	-1.18
Walter Sharpe	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	31	-35	13.9	17.4	-3.46	13.2	14.4	-1.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Crawford	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-28	29	14.0	14.3	-0.35	16.2	17.1	-0.92
Courtney Sims	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-29	31	13.5	14.5	-0.92	14.3	17.9	-3.56
Chris Wilcox	24	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-17	7	14.1	14.3	-0.19	16.7	17.0	-0.30
Larry Hughes	27	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-15	3	14.2	14.2	-0.06	16.6	17.0	-0.39
Nate Robinson	65	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-16	5	14.0	14.8	-0.85	16.4	18.1	-1.75
Quentin Richardson	39	39	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	-13	-1	14.6	14.0	0.58	18.6	15.7	2.89
Chris Duhon	45	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	-11	-5	14.4	14.1	0.29	17.4	16.4	0.98
Al Harrington	81	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-11	-5	13.9	16.2	-2.32	17.0	16.6	0.33
Wilson Chandler	87	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.27	-25	-2	-23	14.3	13.0	1.31	16.8	19.2	-2.40
David Lee	52	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.48	-34	7	-41	15.0	13.2	1.76	17.9	15.8	2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 126, GSW 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.5%
CHI 108, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
ATL 107, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%