NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	4.9 [851]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +22.9%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	1.2 [444]		LVP	Mo Williams (POR): -14.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.20	0.04	0.01	20	67%	0.23	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Thomas Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.04	22	57%	0.07	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	43%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Joel Freeland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06
Nicolas Batum	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	9	39%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	-0.03	9	11%	-0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	13	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.02	0.04	21	60%	0.12	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	14	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	12	63%	0.12	4	-0.10	11	73%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	25.1	15.5	24.2	1.8	33.0	127.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.4%

PHX +2.7%

PHX +13.0%

PHX +3.8%

PHX +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	14.8	15.1	96.8	108.3	105.2
season	15.1	14.7		109.6	107.7
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.2	13.8	15.3	14.0	15.6
PHX	12.1	15.5	15.3	16.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	18	21	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-16	19	14.0	15.9	-1.93	12.9	15.3	-2.44
Dorell Wright	27	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.06	-3	-10	7	15.1	15.7	-0.58	12.1	15.9	-3.80
Mo Williams	46	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-7	1	14.4	16.7	-2.34	13.5	16.0	-2.45
Joel Freeland	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-8	3	16.2	15.3	0.81	11.7	15.8	-4.17
Robin Lopez	64	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-11	9	15.7	15.3	0.39	16.0	12.1	3.87
Wesley Matthews	61	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-3	-7	15.9	14.9	1.01	15.7	12.8	2.88
Damian Lillard	83	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-2	-9	15.6	15.1	0.54	15.0	13.1	1.92
Nicolas Batum	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	2	-17	15.8	14.9	0.93	15.5	12.8	2.63
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.05	-16	3	-19	15.9	14.0	1.93	15.3	12.9	2.44

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	78	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-6	25	14.6	15.6	-0.98	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Miles Plumlee	78	76	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.01	18	-5	23	15.2	12.8	2.37	15.7	14.9	0.77
Goran Dragic	81	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-3	19	15.0	13.3	1.77	15.7	14.7	0.98
Marcus Morris	53	51	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	4	5	13.8	16.0	-2.20	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Eric Bledsoe	76	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	5	3	15.2	13.2	1.97	15.5	15.7	-0.13
Channing Frye	43	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	9	-5	16.0	13.8	2.20	15.7	15.5	0.16
Archie Goodwin	18	17	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	10	-7	13.8	15.0	-1.21	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Alex Len	18	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	18	-23	12.8	15.2	-2.37	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Gerald Green	35	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	20	-27	14.1	15.1	-0.97	15.6	15.5	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.57,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
WAS 79, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CHI 95, OKC 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%