NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	4.4 [966]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +11.5%
Sacramento Kings	112		Comeback	1.1 [1211]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (POR): -9.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	18	62%	0.12	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.04	14	71%	0.08	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
Ha Seung-Jin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.04	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Viktor Khryapa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	14	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	62%	0.02	4	-0.10	3	33%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.03	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.03	17	62%	0.11	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	17	55%	0.07	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	12	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	13	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.6	25.4	16.3	29.5	2.5	28.5	129.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +7.3%

SAC +10.7%

POR -3.1%

SAC +34.9%

SAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.9	15.5	100.0	119.1	104.0
season	15.8	14.7		101.2	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.6		106.4	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.2	16.3	15.3	15.0	16.0
SAC	14.1	15.0	14.1	16.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-17	15	10.0	16.2	-6.16	10.0	15.1	-5.07
Darius Miles	61	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-21	23	15.8	16.2	-0.45	15.7	13.4	2.35
Travis Outlaw	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-13	7	15.1	16.1	-0.98	13.3	15.1	-1.79
Theo Ratliff	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-15	11	18.3	15.1	3.20	16.1	14.4	1.65
Sebastian Telfair	63	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-8	-3	15.4	17.2	-1.83	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Derek Anderson	42	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-10	1	16.8	15.3	1.55	15.1	14.6	0.49
Viktor Khryapa	33	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	-4	-11	15.5	16.2	-0.78	13.1	15.9	-2.81
Joel Przybilla	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	-5	-9	15.7	17.5	-1.88	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Damon Stoudamire	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	-1	-17	16.2	14.9	1.32	15.2	13.3	1.92
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	-1	-17	16.0	15.8	0.15	15.0	14.1	0.98

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	79	80	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.19	26	-7	33	15.0	14.2	0.77	16.0	15.7	0.31
Mike Bibby	78	78	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.12	22	-3	25	15.1	13.7	1.33	15.8	16.8	-1.01
Greg Ostertag	42	44	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	5	9	13.9	15.6	-1.67	16.3	15.6	0.73
Peja Stojakovic	84	84	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	6	7	15.2	12.2	2.97	16.0	15.8	0.20
Cuttino Mobley	76	78	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.00	12	7	5	14.9	14.5	0.43	16.0	15.9	0.03
Maurice Evans	18	15	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	12	-5	14.5	14.9	-0.43	15.9	16.0	-0.03
Corliss Williamson	44	42	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	15	-11	15.4	14.4	1.01	15.5	16.4	-0.88
Darius Songaila	23	21	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	19	-19	16.0	14.5	1.46	16.8	15.7	1.10
Kevin Martin	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	10.2	15.1	-4.91	13.5	16.1	-2.57
Eddie House	16	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	22	-25	13.7	15.1	-1.33	16.8	15.8	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 73, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DEN 82, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
IND 114, DEN 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%