NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	4.9 [848]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +15.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	107		Comeback	1.0 [1296]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -12.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.02	-0.05	10	68%	0.17	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Erik Murphy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	27%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03
Tony Snell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	15	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	2	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	12	46%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.01	-0.07	0.07	17	55%	-0.00	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.23	-0.03	0.05	20	76%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	12	75%	0.16	6	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	4	40%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.06	5	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	3.6	30.2	18.6	28.0	2.8	31.0	143.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +42.7%

CHI -6.4%

CHI -4.5%

OKC +18.2%

OKC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	OKC	NBA	CHI	OKC	NBA
this game	16.1	13.1	15.1	96.9	108.1	105.2
season	16.3	14.4		101.1	107.8
opponent	15.4	15.3		102.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.0	16.7	16.2	15.7	16.1
OKC	12.3	12.1	13.2	15.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erik Murphy	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	17.2	16.1	1.15	15.2	13.0	2.20
Nazr Mohammed	19	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-18	24	17.5	15.8	1.72	13.1	13.1	-0.00
Marquis Teague	26	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-16	20	16.0	16.2	-0.14	12.5	13.3	-0.84
Taj Gibson	61	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-12	12	15.8	16.7	-0.86	13.9	11.8	2.06
Jimmy Butler	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.11	-13	1	-14	16.8	15.8	1.02	12.1	13.7	-1.59
Joakim Noah	59	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-1	-10	16.6	15.5	1.05	12.8	13.6	-0.84
Mike Dunleavy	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-4	-4	16.2	15.9	0.35	13.1	13.1	0.05
Tony Snell	84	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-6	0	15.7	18.6	-2.83	13.4	11.4	2.04
D.J. Augustin	72	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.00	-16	4	-20	16.2	16.0	0.14	13.3	12.5	0.84
Carlos Boozer	57	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.07	-19	7	-26	15.6	16.9	-1.31	12.6	13.8	-1.18

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	-5	22	13.0	13.3	-0.25	16.8	14.8	1.93
Thabo Sefolosha	46	46	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	1	10	12.0	14.1	-2.03	16.9	15.5	1.41
Russell Westbrook	56	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	4	4	13.3	12.9	0.40	16.7	15.5	1.21
Serge Ibaka	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	2	8	12.7	13.4	-0.73	16.8	15.7	1.08
Steven Adams	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	5	2	13.9	12.1	1.88	15.7	16.7	-1.03
Nick Collison	41	42	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	2	8	13.0	13.2	-0.11	15.8	16.4	-0.63
Kendrick Perkins	44	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	7	-2	12.1	13.9	-1.88	16.7	15.7	1.03
Reggie Jackson	57	56	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	7	-2	13.5	12.6	0.94	15.7	16.8	-1.08
Derek Fisher	26	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	10	-8	12.8	13.2	-0.41	14.7	16.7	-2.03
Jeremy Lamb	49	48	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	17	-22	13.7	12.6	1.11	15.0	17.2	-2.16
Andre Roberson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	15.2	13.0	2.20	17.2	16.1	1.15
Perry Jones	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	19	-26	15.3	13.0	2.37	15.7	16.2	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 83, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DET 86, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CLE 87, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%