NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	6.7 [453]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +32.0%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	5.4 [377]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (DAL): -22.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.12	0.15	-0.00	5	108%	0.30	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Ed Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	10	52%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	13	59%	0.12	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	41%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	6	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.08	0.20	-0.04	18	58%	0.36	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.04	0.01	11	92%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Mike James	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	64%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	29.0	17.8	28.2	1.7	35.0	135.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +16.4%

DAL -3.4%

MEM +33.6%

MEM +6.2%

DAL -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	15.4	109.6	103.2	104.1
season	16.5	14.5		102.9	104.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.0	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.7	16.4	14.7	14.5	15.5
DAL	16.0	15.6	15.3	13.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	48	47	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	0	6	14.9	16.2	-1.34	15.6	14.7	0.89
Jerryd Bayless	58	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	5	-4	15.3	15.8	-0.48	14.6	15.9	-1.35
Keyon Dooling	50	48	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	6	-6	15.4	15.6	-0.19	14.3	16.0	-1.75
Ed Davis	56	54	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.34	-2	8	-10	15.3	15.8	-0.42	14.6	15.8	-1.17
Austin Daye	34	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	6	-6	14.4	16.1	-1.68	13.2	16.2	-2.96
Marc Gasol	47	48	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	-3	12	15.2	15.8	-0.60	15.5	14.7	0.85
Zach Randolph	38	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	-2	10	15.8	15.3	0.42	15.9	14.6	1.27
Tayshaun Prince	41	42	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	2	2	16.0	15.1	0.95	15.4	14.9	0.54
Mike Conley	44	46	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	0	6	15.6	15.4	0.19	16.0	14.3	1.75
Tony Allen	26	27	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	2	2	15.9	15.4	0.52	15.4	15.0	0.39
Darrell Arthur	22	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	7	-8	17.4	14.9	2.48	17.7	14.3	3.39
Jon Leuer	6	6	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	11	-16	18.7	15.3	3.37	10.8	15.4	-4.59

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	55	55	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.16	9	-15	24	14.8	15.6	-0.79	16.7	13.9	2.76
Darren Collison	47	47	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.11	5	-11	16	15.5	14.7	0.81	16.6	14.4	2.17
Chris Kaman	33	33	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-5	4	14.8	15.3	-0.43	16.0	15.3	0.71
Elton Brand	11	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	16.1	15.0	1.09	16.0	15.5	0.55
Anthony Morrow	16	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-3	0	12.7	15.6	-2.87	12.6	16.1	-3.55
Jae Crowder	22	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	1	-8	17.0	14.6	2.44	14.8	15.7	-0.96
Shawn Marion	63	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-5	4	15.2	15.1	0.09	16.2	14.2	2.01
Brandan Wright	43	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-4	2	15.0	15.2	-0.15	14.3	16.6	-2.28
O.J. Mayo	57	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	2	-10	15.1	15.2	-0.19	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Dirk Nowitzki	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	2	-10	15.5	14.2	1.29	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Mike James	55	55	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	4	-14	14.7	15.7	-1.05	14.8	16.6	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 105, PHX 83	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
IND 92, GSW 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.19,0.14,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0	93.0%
PHX 95, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.02,0,0,0	92.2%