NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	105		Excitement	12.2 [18]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (DAL): +40.4%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	4.5 [183]		LVP	Andre Miller (DEN): -37.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.00	7	72%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	8	61%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Wilson Chandler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	15	60%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05	-0.08	0.13	-0.00	20	40%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.08	0.00	6	85%	0.12	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	15	55%	0.11	5	-0.15	3	33%	-0.05
Kosta Koufos	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.37,-0.37	-0.16	-0.21	0.00	12	29%	-0.16	4	-0.21	4	75%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	13	71%	0.52	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.26,0.23	0.23	0.05	0.18	-0.00	19	51%	0.23	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0	0.00	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	4	58%	0.15	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	0.01	7	44%	0.14	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	14	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	7	50%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.13
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.05	-0.22	0.02	17	61%	0.11	3	-0.29	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	30.4	16.7	23.3	2.5	39.2	1.8	16.7	157.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +47.1%

DEN -13.2%

DAL +32.8%

DEN -21.6%

DAL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DAL	NBA	DEN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.4	98.1	100.0	104.1
season	14.4	14.5		108.4	104.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.0	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DEN	13.8	15.9	16.5	12.5	16.9	14.8
DAL	15.0	12.4	13.5	15.7	23.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Lawson	40	41	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-7	11	14.8	14.9	-0.11	13.9	15.3	-1.43
Evan Fournier	17	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-4	5	15.4	14.7	0.68	13.5	15.0	-1.49
Anthony Randolph	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-1	-1	15.7	14.8	0.90	9.6	15.1	-5.53
JaVale McGee	56	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.35	9	-12	21	14.2	15.5	-1.24	14.6	14.9	-0.22
Kenneth Faried	70	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	0	-3	15.1	14.4	0.75	14.2	15.7	-1.45
Kosta Koufos	37	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	7	-17	16.3	14.1	2.18	15.1	14.5	0.56
Corey Brewer	76	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-2	1	14.4	15.9	-1.54	14.3	15.9	-1.61
Andre Iguodala	86	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	0	-3	14.8	15.1	-0.32	15.3	12.6	2.69
Wilson Chandler	68	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	1	-5	14.5	15.5	-1.06	16.2	12.2	4.05
Andre Miller	76	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.39	-6	3	-9	15.0	14.4	0.59	15.0	14.2	0.79

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	60	59	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-5	13	14.5	15.1	-0.62	14.3	15.5	-1.27
Mike James	69	68	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-6	15	15.3	13.7	1.60	15.2	14.3	0.92
O.J. Mayo	86	85	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-3	9	14.7	15.0	-0.33	15.2	13.5	1.63
Vince Carter	68	70	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	0	3	14.6	15.0	-0.45	14.1	16.2	-2.10
Dirk Nowitzki	81	80	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	-1	5	15.5	12.3	3.21	14.9	14.7	0.23
Shawn Marion	64	63	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	3	-3	13.7	16.2	-2.51	15.4	14.1	1.31
Darren Collison	39	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	7	-11	13.7	15.3	-1.60	13.9	15.4	-1.46
Elton Brand	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	3	-3	13.2	15.3	-2.10	16.0	14.4	1.59
Jae Crowder	25	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	7	-11	15.4	14.5	0.91	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Chris Kaman	19	19	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	10	-17	17.9	14.1	3.89	14.8	14.8	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.95,1	89.4%
TOR 116, MIA 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.25,0.36,0.55,0.91,1	89.4%
HOU 99, NOH 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.85,0.99,1	88.9%