inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 105 Excitement12.2 [18] MVPO.J. Mayo (DAL): +40.4%
Dallas Mavericks 108 Comeback4.5 [183] LVPAndre Miller (DEN): -37.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.090.11-0.00772%0.2100.00475%-0.00
Kenneth Faried0.140,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.140.050.08-0.01861%0.1400.00250%-0.03
Wilson Chandler0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.001560%0.132-0.0700%0.00
Corey Brewer0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05-0.080.13-0.002040%0.123-0.07580%0.01
Evan Fournier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00150%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Anthony Randolph-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
JaVale McGee-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.06-0.080.00685%0.122-0.151100%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.040,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.011555%0.115-0.15333%-0.05
Kosta Koufos-0.080,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00933%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Andre Miller-0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.37,-0.37-0.16-0.210.001229%-0.164-0.21475%-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.4,0.4,0.40.400.100.30-0.011371%0.522-0.12250%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.26,0.230.230.050.18-0.001951%0.2300.00560%-0.02
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,00.00-0.060.02-0.04458%0.154-0.15475%0.00
Anthony Morrow00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0-0.00-0.040.040.01744%0.142-0.14250%-0.01
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.03-0.001454%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.00333%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.01633%-0.033-0.0600%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.11-0.00750%-0.081-0.03425%-0.13
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.0050%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.180.05-0.220.021761%0.113-0.292100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.22.430.416.723.32.539.21.816.7157.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +47.1%
DEN -13.2%
DAL +32.8%
DEN -21.6%
DAL +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game14.814.715.498.1100.0104.1
season14.414.5108.4104.3
opponent15.615.4105.0104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN13.815.916.512.516.914.8
DAL15.012.413.515.723.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson40410.06-0.560.63-0.054-71114.814.9-0.1113.915.3-1.43
Evan Fournier17180.01-0.510.52-0.021-4515.414.70.6813.515.0-1.49
Anthony Randolph98-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-1-115.714.80.909.615.1-5.53
JaVale McGee5658-0.09-0.410.33-0.359-122114.215.5-1.2414.614.9-0.22
Kenneth Faried7069-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-30-315.114.40.7514.215.7-1.45
Kosta Koufos3738-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.02-107-1716.314.12.1815.114.50.56
Corey Brewer7676-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.34-1-2114.415.9-1.5414.315.9-1.61
Andre Iguodala8687-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.39-30-314.815.1-0.3215.312.62.69
Wilson Chandler6869-0.560.06-0.61-0.44-41-514.515.5-1.0616.212.24.05
Andre Miller7676-0.560.06-0.62-0.39-63-915.014.40.5915.014.20.79

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandan Wright60590.68-0.180.860.458-51314.515.1-0.6214.315.5-1.27
Mike James69680.64-0.140.790.389-61515.313.71.6015.214.30.92
O.J. Mayo86850.51-0.010.520.336-3914.715.0-0.3315.213.51.63
Vince Carter68700.480.010.470.4030314.615.0-0.4514.116.2-2.10
Dirk Nowitzki81800.300.200.100.184-1515.512.33.2114.914.70.23
Shawn Marion64630.250.25-0.010.2503-313.716.2-2.5115.414.11.31
Darren Collison3940-0.020.52-0.550.09-47-1113.715.3-1.6013.915.4-1.46
Elton Brand2929-0.030.53-0.57-0.0303-313.215.3-2.1016.014.41.59
Jae Crowder2523-0.040.54-0.580.08-47-1115.414.50.9114.115.0-0.91
Chris Kaman1919-0.170.67-0.830.04-710-1717.914.13.8914.814.80.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 91, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.95,189.4%
TOR 116, MIA 1230.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.25,0.36,0.55,0.91,189.4%
HOU 99, NOH 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.85,0.99,188.9%