NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	4.3 [975]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): +20.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.5 [904]		LVP	Tyler Zeller (CLE): -7.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.27	0.03	0.10	16	84%	0.20	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	24	55%	0.19	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Chris Copeland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	75%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	7	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	33%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	71%	0.09	3	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	27	52%	0.04	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.03
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	68%	0.09	5	-0.11	8	37%	-0.05
Kevin Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	0.07	10	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	30.8	15.7	21.2	1.8	25.0	119.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.1%

CLE -7.1%

NYK +1.2%

NYK +2.6%

NYK +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	17.2	15.6	15.4	114.8	103.4	104.1
season	16.2	15.5		107.9	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		107.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.3	13.6	20.1	17.6	17.2
CLE	16.9	15.9	15.9	13.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	55	55	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.07	21	-11	32	16.6	18.1	-1.52	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Chris Copeland	47	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-7	24	17.2	17.1	0.05	17.1	13.7	3.36
Jason Kidd	33	34	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-5	20	16.8	17.4	-0.61	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Iman Shumpert	67	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	5	0	16.3	19.9	-3.53	15.7	15.0	0.73
Steve Novak	50	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	3	4	16.0	18.7	-2.76	15.0	16.3	-1.35
Carmelo Anthony	51	51	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	10	-10	18.5	15.3	3.28	16.0	15.0	1.01
Solomon Jones	24	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	11	-12	17.1	17.2	-0.06	13.5	16.3	-2.83
Raymond Felton	42	41	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	10	-10	18.7	15.8	2.86	15.7	15.4	0.33
Pablo Prigioni	42	42	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	17	-24	16.5	17.8	-1.33	16.0	15.2	0.85
James White	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.23	-9	19	-28	17.0	17.2	-0.19	11.0	16.1	-5.08

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Quinn	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-21	32	10.0	16.0	-6.04	19.6	17.0	2.61
Marreese Speights	18	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-7	4	15.8	15.5	0.28	14.1	18.0	-3.91
Tristan Thompson	54	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-11	12	15.9	15.0	0.91	18.7	14.8	3.89
Alonzo Gee	63	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-11	12	15.2	16.5	-1.29	17.9	15.3	2.53
Tyler Zeller	37	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-5	0	17.4	14.2	3.19	17.8	16.7	1.12
Kyrie Irving	64	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-4	-2	16.1	14.2	1.91	18.0	15.2	2.81
Shaun Livingston	53	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	6	-22	15.3	15.9	-0.64	16.9	17.6	-0.68
Kevin Jones	32	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	1	-12	14.7	16.0	-1.27	14.9	18.5	-3.57
Wayne Ellington	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-5	0	15.8	14.7	1.05	17.0	17.9	-0.99
Omri Casspi	43	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	7	-24	14.7	16.4	-1.77	15.8	18.4	-2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, MEM 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
SAS 95, MEM 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.17,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
LAC 100, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%