NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	4.0 [1033]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +9.2%
Denver Nuggets	86		Comeback	1.3 [486]		LVP	Andre Miller (DEN): -13.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	9	63%	0.12	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.05	9	67%	0.06	3	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.00	0.05	7	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	73%	0.11	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	39%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	11	44%	0.01	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	14	38%	-0.01	5	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.04	-0.05	2	17%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	11	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	17	40%	-0.03	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	13	54%	0.01	7	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.8	34.0	17.8	32.1	3.4	30.7	147.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +31.6%

LAC +3.5%

LAC +4.0%

LAC +4.6%

LAC +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.6	15.6	106.4	91.5	104.4
season	15.2	14.4		103.9	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	16.4	14.4	18.7	16.0
DEN	17.1	14.9	13.8	12.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	62	63	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-4	22	16.5	15.2	1.34	14.0	15.7	-1.71
Elton Brand	74	72	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	1	12	15.6	17.7	-2.17	14.6	14.5	0.07
Corey Maggette	55	55	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	-2	18	17.2	14.5	2.70	13.9	15.6	-1.79
Chris Kaman	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-2	18	16.8	14.7	2.16	14.4	14.9	-0.46
Quinton Ross	49	50	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.10	14	0	14	15.1	17.1	-2.01	16.4	12.6	3.77
Cuttino Mobley	70	69	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.24	-2	16	-18	16.2	15.5	0.73	14.2	15.8	-1.64
Vladimir Radmanovic	53	54	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	13	-12	15.9	16.2	-0.31	15.1	13.8	1.30
Sam Cassell	42	41	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	14	-14	15.0	16.9	-1.88	15.4	14.0	1.41
Daniel Ewing	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	16	-18	13.0	16.1	-3.11	7.7	14.8	-7.16
Walter McCarty	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	13.0	16.1	-3.11	11.0	14.7	-3.67
James Singleton	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	13.0	16.1	-3.11	11.0	14.7	-3.67

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	9.9	15.0	-5.16	18.4	15.8	2.55
DerMarr Johnson	26	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-15	16	12.4	15.4	-3.00	17.7	15.4	2.23
Eduardo Najera	52	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-10	6	14.2	15.1	-0.95	15.2	17.1	-1.94
Andre Miller	75	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-13	12	14.2	16.0	-1.76	16.3	14.8	1.56
Greg Buckner	69	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-16	18	14.4	15.2	-0.82	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Ruben Patterson	15	15	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.06	-10	-4	-6	15.7	14.4	1.35	16.7	15.9	0.82
Reggie Evans	19	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-4	-6	16.5	14.1	2.42	16.6	15.9	0.74
Francisco Elson	26	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.13	-14	0	-14	15.2	14.4	0.77	15.8	16.1	-0.32
Carmelo Anthony	68	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-6	-2	15.2	12.9	2.31	15.6	17.1	-1.45
Marcus Camby	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-7	0	14.9	13.3	1.67	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Earl Boykins	37	37	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.13	-22	8	-30	15.2	14.2	0.93	15.7	16.3	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, MEM 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DEN 91, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
UTA 102, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%