NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	117		Excitement	6.3 [524]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (BKN): +29.6%
Indiana Pacers	109		Comeback	2.1 [358]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -13.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.11	0.21	0.02	6	81%	0.30	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.09	0.02	17	67%	0.22	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	16	63%	0.14	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13	0.07	-0.15	0.06	23	59%	0.03	5	-0.16	10	80%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.02	0.08	13	87%	0.17	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.02	17	55%	0.23	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	9	54%	0.14	3	-0.11	6	17%	-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	53%	0.07	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Orlando Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	0.04	15	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	29.2	15.5	32.3	1.8	35.4	138.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +23.9%

IND -4.6%

BKN +10.6%

BKN +14.3%

BKN +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	IND	NBA	BKN	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.4	124.5	113.5	104.1
season	16.5	16.1		106.5	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.0	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.4	14.4	17.0	15.8	15.4
IND	15.6	16.2	13.0	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	72	73	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-7	22	14.8	17.5	-2.66	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Deron Williams	81	82	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-2	12	15.7	13.8	1.82	15.1	13.5	1.65
Joe Johnson	79	80	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	-2	12	14.9	18.0	-3.08	14.4	17.5	-3.11
Keith Bogans	48	50	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	-8	24	15.1	15.8	-0.72	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Reggie Evans	47	51	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.08	18	-10	28	14.7	16.1	-1.34	15.3	14.5	0.79
Andray Blatche	40	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	8	-8	15.4	15.4	0.06	15.2	14.7	0.46
Jerry Stackhouse	47	47	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.32	-9	17	-26	15.6	15.2	0.36	14.7	15.1	-0.36
CJ Watson	28	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	12	-16	16.1	15.1	0.94	15.6	14.6	1.06
Kris Humphries	28	27	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.15	-16	24	-40	18.4	14.2	4.24	14.9	14.9	-0.08

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	22	21	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-13	18	15.9	14.6	1.30	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Tyler Hansbrough	37	36	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.04	3	-11	14	14.3	15.3	-0.99	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Orlando Johnson	1	2	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-8	8	4.0	15.0	-11.02	9.0	15.6	-6.55
Sam Young	33	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-5	2	15.6	14.5	1.11	16.1	15.1	1.02
Ian Mahinmi	16	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-3	-2	17.3	14.4	2.89	14.8	15.5	-0.73
Roy Hibbert	63	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-5	2	14.6	15.5	-0.84	15.7	14.8	0.92
Paul George	86	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-4	0	14.8	16.2	-1.44	15.6	13.9	1.70
Lance Stephenson	73	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	3	-14	14.7	15.6	-0.92	15.0	16.7	-1.71
George Hill	73	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.30	-10	2	-12	14.8	15.2	-0.35	15.5	15.0	0.60
David West	76	75	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	4	-16	14.9	14.8	0.13	15.4	15.5	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.55,0.45,0.05,0.05,0	92.5%
WAS 102, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.04,0	91.4%
GSW 115, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.37,0.13,0.08,0	91.3%