NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	113		Excitement	6.9 [415]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +43.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	3.8 [551]		LVP	Will Barton (POR): -13.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.44	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.25	0.23	0.04	27	65%	0.46	1	-0.02	18	100%	0.13
Pau Gasol	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.10	0.02	15	72%	0.26	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	4	100%	0.17	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	77%	0.20	6	-0.22	4	50%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.00	5	120%	0.22	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	-0.06	0.04	25	64%	0.16	2	-0.10	9	100%	0.10
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	11	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	12	35%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.0	29.0	14.0	27.0	2.5	34.5	133.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +63.8%

LAL +6.0%

POR -2.1%

POR -14.9%

POR -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	15.4	121.5	114.0	104.1
season	14.9	15.8		106.0	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.3		107.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.7	15.0	16.6	18.4	16.6
POR	12.8	13.8	15.4	15.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	51	49	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.37	16	-9	25	17.4	15.6	1.86	14.8	13.9	0.97
Pau Gasol	77	76	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-5	17	17.0	14.7	2.30	14.1	15.6	-1.48
Steve Blake	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	4	-1	17.1	14.6	2.54	14.1	15.5	-1.43
Dwight Howard	74	75	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	3	1	16.5	16.9	-0.45	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Kobe Bryant	93	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	16.6	0.0	16.59	14.4	0.0	14.38
Metta World Peace	26	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	13	-19	16.2	16.7	-0.55	14.7	14.3	0.39
Antawn Jamison	29	30	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.19	-1	8	-9	15.7	17.0	-1.26	15.4	13.9	1.56
Jodie Meeks	42	43	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.26	0	7	-7	14.9	18.0	-3.08	14.4	14.3	0.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Maynor	45	46	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-11	15	14.2	14.5	-0.26	16.2	17.0	-0.87
Luke Babbitt	43	43	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.09	0	-7	7	15.3	13.6	1.77	16.3	16.8	-0.54
Victor Claver	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-3	-1	14.7	14.0	0.66	16.1	17.3	-1.19
Sasha Pavlovic	42	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	1	-9	15.6	13.4	2.27	17.1	16.2	0.91
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-6	5	13.9	16.7	-2.87	16.8	15.6	1.24
Damian Lillard	82	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-6	5	14.1	16.5	-2.46	16.6	16.7	-0.15
Will Barton	58	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.36	-9	2	-11	13.7	15.6	-1.92	16.7	16.3	0.42
Meyers Leonard	65	63	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.30	-16	9	-25	14.4	14.3	0.08	16.8	16.1	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.4,0.15,0.21,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.34,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.17,0	92.3%
PHX 103, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.1,0.09,0,0	92.0%
HOU 89, POR 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0	90.8%