NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	7.9 [228]		MVP	Mo Williams (LAC): +29.0%
Denver Nuggets	98		Comeback	3.2 [200]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -17.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.29	0.13	0.16	-0.00	11	76%	0.32	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Kenyon Martin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17	-0.01	0.18	-0.00	5	50%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Nick Young	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	8	81%	0.20	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	70%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.03	12	40%	0.00	4	-0.07	6	33%	-0.10
Chris Paul	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18	-0.03	-0.13	0.02	19	49%	-0.10	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	14	73%	0.26	3	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.01	6	63%	0.14	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.05
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.02	6	86%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	10	55%	0.17	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.07
Arron Afflalo	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	7	22%	-0.11	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	28.2	16.7	26.8	1.8	42.6	143.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +43.4%

DEN -27.2%

LAC +22.4%

LAC +8.3%

LAC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	17.3	13.7	15.6	113.0	104.3	102.8
season	16.2	14.5		106.0	107.5
opponent	15.8	15.7		104.5	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.0	14.8	17.1	20.0	17.3
DEN	12.8	15.2	11.7	15.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	67	68	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	2	2	17.8	16.1	1.74	13.0	15.3	-2.33
Blake Griffin	55	57	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.41	2	4	-2	18.0	16.4	1.67	14.3	12.7	1.58
Kenyon Martin	57	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	4	-2	17.6	16.9	0.70	13.1	14.7	-1.59
Nick Young	46	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	3	0	17.8	16.9	0.96	14.0	13.3	0.65
Randy Foye	43	43	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	2	2	16.0	18.6	-2.62	12.5	14.6	-2.12
Mo Williams	51	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	-2	10	18.0	16.6	1.38	14.3	12.9	1.39
Caron Butler	45	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	3	0	17.1	17.6	-0.42	13.7	13.6	0.08
Bobby Simmons	12	12	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	0	6	14.4	17.8	-3.37	15.1	13.5	1.63
DeAndre Jordan	59	60	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	10	-14	17.3	17.4	-0.02	13.4	14.2	-0.81
Eric Bledsoe	25	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.15	2	4	-2	16.1	17.8	-1.74	15.3	13.0	2.33

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	29	29	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.11	5	-11	16	12.4	14.2	-1.75	16.5	17.7	-1.26
Al Harrington	66	64	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.07	8	-14	22	12.3	16.8	-4.45	17.5	17.0	0.45
Andre Miller	53	52	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-10	14	12.5	15.1	-2.59	17.4	17.3	0.08
Corey Brewer	32	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	-1	-4	13.5	13.7	-0.19	16.5	17.8	-1.21
Ty Lawson	70	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-6	6	13.7	13.5	0.21	17.7	16.2	1.54
Danilo Gallinari	56	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	14.0	13.2	0.80	16.7	18.4	-1.68
Kosta Koufos	45	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	5	-16	14.9	12.5	2.44	17.3	17.4	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	45	44	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.34	-10	4	-14	15.8	11.7	4.02	18.7	16.1	2.69
Arron Afflalo	74	73	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.29	-17	11	-28	13.8	13.0	0.84	17.2	18.0	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.34,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 113, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.4,0.15,0.21,0.03,0.05,0	92.3%
PHX 115, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.14,0.02,0.03,0.08,0	91.8%
HOU 89, POR 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0	91.6%