NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	8.3 [262]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +37.1%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	3.8 [25]		LVP	Troy Daniels (PHX): -12.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37	0.12	0.24	-0.01	23	67%	0.50	5	-0.13	9	100%	0.07
Tyler Johnson	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18	-0.03	0.20	-0.02	9	38%	0.18	0	0.00	8	75%	0.07
Mikal Bridges	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.10	0.05	0.02	4	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	14	79%	0.25	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.07
Deandre Ayton	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	19	47%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.07	0.03	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1	0.10	-0.06	0.11	-0.05	20	43%	0.17	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.05	0.10	17	60%	0.12	3	-0.12	8	75%	0.12
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	45%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	0.06	22	58%	0.05	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	0.7	25.6	15.5	28.1	2.5	39.5	136.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +43.2%

PHX +8.6%

GSW -1.3%

GSW -2.3%

PHX +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	12.8	14.3	109.5	105.7	109.3
season	14.4	13.4		104.8	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.0		108.9	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.7	14.2	14.8	13.8	14.6
GSW	11.5	14.0	12.8	12.9	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	75	74	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.67	6	-2	8	13.9	16.6	-2.75	12.7	12.9	-0.16
Tyler Johnson	79	78	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.64	7	-3	10	14.1	16.3	-2.17	12.6	13.4	-0.88
Devin Booker	89	90	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.31	12	-8	20	14.5	15.2	-0.72	12.9	11.9	1.08
Deandre Ayton	74	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-6	16	14.2	15.8	-1.61	13.4	11.3	2.09
Mikal Bridges	56	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	-3	10	14.8	14.4	0.39	13.0	12.5	0.50
Dragan Bender	32	33	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	7	-10	14.7	14.6	0.12	13.3	12.5	0.79
Richaun Holmes	31	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.10	-6	10	-16	15.8	14.2	1.61	11.3	13.4	-2.09
Josh Jackson	47	46	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.25	-2	6	-8	15.6	13.8	1.77	12.2	13.3	-1.06
Troy Daniels	42	42	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.18	-11	15	-26	15.9	13.8	2.07	12.9	12.7	0.15

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	66	67	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.17	10	-14	24	12.1	14.0	-1.97	15.2	13.7	1.45
Quinn Cook	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-3	2	11.7	12.9	-1.19	12.1	14.9	-2.85
DeMarcus Cousins	59	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-3	2	13.9	11.3	2.61	14.9	14.3	0.61
Alfonzo McKinnie	29	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-4	4	11.1	13.4	-2.38	16.0	14.2	1.78
Kevon Looney	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-4	4	12.7	12.8	-0.15	14.8	14.5	0.27
Draymond Green	70	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-1	-2	12.8	12.8	0.03	14.6	14.7	-0.16
Stephen Curry	77	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.52	7	-11	18	12.2	14.4	-2.23	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Shaun Livingston	31	30	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	11	-26	15.2	11.8	3.41	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Andre Iguodala	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	3	-10	12.5	13.2	-0.70	14.5	14.9	-0.49
Klay Thompson	80	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	6	-16	13.2	11.4	1.77	14.2	16.1	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.14,0.02,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.34,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.17,0	91.8%
UTA 95, MIL 86	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.37,0.3,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.33,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	91.5%
SAC 105, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.01,0	90.9%