NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	89		Excitement	7.0 [376]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +17.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	79		Comeback	2.8 [298]		LVP	Brandon Roy (POR): -15.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	0.01	6	80%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.09	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.04	14	48%	0.14	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Shane Battier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.00	9	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Yao Ming	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	0.00	8	46%	0.04	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.04
Rafer Alston	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	14	42%	-0.03	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	46%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	0.00	17	57%	0.06	5	-0.22	6	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	26.2	14.8	27.1	1.8	34.0	133.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.1%

HOU +12.1%

HOU +10.7%

POR -5.5%

POR -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	16.1	15.4	96.7	87.8	105.7
season	16.2	16.7		104.6	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		106.1	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.8	14.6	14.2	17.7	15.5
POR	17.8	14.2	17.1	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	45	43	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.18	14	-4	18	15.9	15.1	0.81	15.2	17.0	-1.72
Luis Scola	61	60	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-4	18	15.8	15.0	0.79	16.6	15.1	1.55
Shane Battier	66	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	6	-2	16.1	14.2	1.91	16.6	15.1	1.41
Aaron Brooks	55	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	1	8	16.0	14.8	1.28	14.7	18.3	-3.62
Luther Head	35	35	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	2	6	13.6	16.7	-3.10	16.7	15.7	1.00
Tracy McGrady	67	64	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.19	2	8	-6	16.4	13.1	3.35	15.7	17.2	-1.49
Rafer Alston	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	9	-8	14.8	16.0	-1.28	18.3	14.7	3.62
Yao Ming	54	54	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	8	-6	15.1	16.1	-1.04	16.7	15.2	1.52
Bonzi Wells	26	27	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	5	0	14.2	16.1	-1.91	15.1	16.6	-1.41
Charles Hayes	14	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.11	-9	19	-28	15.1	15.6	-0.45	14.8	16.4	-1.60

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	34	35	0.45	-0.95	1.39	-0.14	20	-30	50	16.9	15.7	1.16	17.1	14.6	2.52
Raef LaFrentz	8	7	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.04	1	-11	12	17.5	16.0	1.50	16.3	15.5	0.83
Steve Blake	48	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-11	12	16.4	15.8	0.65	16.1	14.8	1.34
Sergio Rodriguez	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-1	-8	14.7	16.6	-1.93	13.7	16.1	-2.38
Martell Webster	33	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-4	-2	18.2	14.9	3.33	14.2	16.2	-1.99
Travis Outlaw	35	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-3	-4	15.3	16.7	-1.39	15.8	15.3	0.47
James Jones	57	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-6	2	14.9	18.2	-3.33	16.2	14.2	1.99
Brandon Roy	67	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-9	8	16.6	14.7	1.93	16.1	13.7	2.38
Joel Przybilla	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	1	-12	16.5	15.8	0.76	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Jarrett Jack	42	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	1	-12	15.8	16.4	-0.65	14.8	16.1	-1.34
LaMarcus Aldridge	58	61	-0.90	0.40	-1.31	-0.23	-23	13	-36	15.7	16.8	-1.10	15.0	16.6	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.39,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.04,0	92.2%
WAS 96, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.1,0.02,0,0	92.1%
DET 72, IND 67	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.05,0	91.9%