NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	96		Excitement	7.2 [391]		MVP	Doron Lamb (ORL): +17.5%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	3.9 [658]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -18.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	11	61%	0.16	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Trevor Booker	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.04	0.03	10	70%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Bradley Beal	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	10	53%	0.10	1	-0.05	10	60%	-0.03
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	10	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Wall	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	10	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	10	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	12	43%	0.02	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	5	110%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	9	59%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.05	0.04	14	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	16	33%	-0.09	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	31.9	15.8	27.1	1.8	34.0	136.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +23.2%

ORL -3.9%

WAS +21.2%

WAS +12.0%

ORL -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.1	102.1	90.5	105.2
season	15.1	15.3		103.8	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.5		105.9	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.3	11.8	15.9	17.4	15.2
ORL	13.2	15.9	15.4	16.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	70	71	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.20	26	-16	42	14.4	17.6	-3.21	16.0	13.0	3.00
Andre Miller	21	23	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-9	28	13.9	15.6	-1.72	16.7	14.8	1.86
Al Harrington	34	35	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-7	24	15.3	15.1	0.21	15.0	15.4	-0.45
Otto Porter	50	50	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	0	10	15.6	14.7	0.83	14.7	16.0	-1.28
Marcin Gortat	62	62	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	9	-8	14.5	16.5	-1.94	15.5	14.8	0.76
Nene	38	39	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	4	2	16.5	14.3	2.24	14.6	15.7	-1.09
Trevor Booker	53	53	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	16	-22	15.1	15.3	-0.18	15.9	14.5	1.45
Garrett Temple	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	0.0	15.2	-15.19	1.0	15.4	-14.44
John Wall	73	71	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.22	-9	19	-28	15.6	13.9	1.72	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Martell Webster	15	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	14	-18	17.7	14.7	3.02	12.9	15.7	-2.79
Trevor Ariza	54	55	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	20	-30	15.0	15.4	-0.45	15.2	15.4	-0.16

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	49	49	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-16	22	15.4	15.1	0.34	14.4	16.1	-1.68
Andrew Nicholson	40	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-9	8	15.4	15.2	0.20	17.7	13.4	4.32
Jameer Nelson	67	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-11	12	16.1	13.4	2.63	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Doron Lamb	38	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-4	-2	13.1	16.7	-3.59	16.6	14.3	2.36
Arron Afflalo	62	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-9	8	16.4	13.2	3.17	14.6	16.4	-1.81
Victor Oladipo	32	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-1	-8	13.2	16.3	-3.11	16.0	14.8	1.25
Maurice Harkless	60	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-7	4	16.7	12.9	3.80	14.2	16.9	-2.69
E'Twaun Moore	26	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	2	-14	13.1	16.1	-2.99	16.4	14.7	1.70
Dewayne Dedmon	52	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-2	-6	15.5	15.0	0.52	13.3	17.5	-4.13
Tobias Harris	49	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	7	-24	14.8	15.8	-1.05	16.0	14.4	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.1,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	92.3%
HOU 89, POR 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.1%
MIA 106, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.04,0,0	92.1%