NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	7.0 [403]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +27.7%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	3.9 [89]		LVP	Casey Jacobsen (PHX): -12.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.10	0.17	-0.00	20	64%	0.29	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.05
Joe Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	14	59%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.02	7	76%	0.03	2	-0.06	11	64%	-0.08
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	19	45%	0.00	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	5	70%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	16	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	18	42%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.11	-0.02	27	55%	0.13	5	-0.22	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	10	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	27.4	15.7	27.2	2.4	32.2	130.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +35.2%

BOS -1.5%

PHX +22.2%

BOS -5.5%

BOS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	16.2	15.5	110.8	98.9	101.6
season	15.0	15.6		101.1	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	13.6	15.3	13.3	14.4
BOS	15.1	14.1	19.0	17.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	68	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.28	19	-10	29	14.2	15.0	-0.80	16.4	15.9	0.46
Joe Johnson	58	59	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-6	21	14.8	13.8	0.96	16.6	15.6	0.94
Shawn Marion	86	88	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	0	9	14.3	15.3	-0.96	16.2	16.3	-0.07
Bo Outlaw	85	87	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	1	7	14.2	16.4	-2.16	16.5	12.7	3.79
Stephon Marbury	78	80	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	7	-5	14.2	15.5	-1.35	16.2	16.1	0.10
Anfernee Hardaway	51	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	4	1	14.8	14.0	0.81	16.5	15.9	0.57
Jake Tsakalidis	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	8	-7	16.4	14.2	2.16	12.7	16.5	-3.79
Scott Williams	9	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	13	-17	12.4	14.6	-2.16	14.2	16.4	-2.15
Casey Jacobsen	24	25	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.09	-10	19	-29	15.1	14.2	0.92	15.1	16.6	-1.55

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	18	18	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-11	13	12.0	17.2	-5.21	14.5	14.4	0.13
Kedrick Brown	9	8	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-12	15	16.6	16.2	0.37	15.2	14.3	0.93
Shammond Williams	35	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.08	-5	-4	-1	16.9	15.8	1.14	16.2	13.4	2.72
Walter McCarty	47	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	0	-9	15.1	17.3	-2.12	14.1	14.6	-0.52
Paul Pierce	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-9	9	16.3	16.0	0.30	14.6	13.8	0.76
Vin Baker	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	0	-9	17.4	14.1	3.26	13.9	15.4	-1.48
Antoine Walker	88	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	-2	-5	16.7	9.9	6.87	14.6	11.9	2.75
Tony Delk	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	-3	-3	15.9	16.9	-1.05	13.6	16.1	-2.50
Eric Williams	85	84	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.21	-14	5	-19	16.2	16.2	0.02	14.4	14.8	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.1,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 106, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.44,0.11,0,0,0	92.4%
LAL 111, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.09,0.02,0	92.3%
LAL 113, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.4,0.15,0.21,0.03,0.05,0	92.0%