NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	106		Excitement	7.1 [401]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +17.5%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	3.3 [254]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -15.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.17	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.10	0.00	14	61%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Karl Malone	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.02	26	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Quincy Lewis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	6	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	9	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
John Stockton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Olden Polynice	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.02	11	75%	0.23	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	17	51%	0.01	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.04
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	9	48%	0.06	2	-0.16	5	100%	0.05
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	22	46%	-0.08	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	7	38%	-0.13	1	-0.02	12	50%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.5	31.0	15.5	30.2	1.6	28.3	129.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.0%

ATL -6.7%

ATL -16.8%

UTA +31.8%

UTA +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.9	14.9	15.2	116.5	106.7	101.7
season	16.3	15.4		104.5	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	16.9	16.1	17.3	16.9
ATL	13.3	15.1	14.5	17.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	59	58	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.20	23	-13	36	17.7	15.4	2.32	16.4	12.1	4.35
Karl Malone	75	73	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.18	21	-11	32	17.3	15.3	1.94	16.1	9.6	6.48
Bryon Russell	67	67	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.26	16	-6	22	17.8	14.5	3.28	15.7	12.5	3.25
Olden Polynice	80	79	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.15	18	-8	26	16.7	18.5	-1.75	15.0	14.5	0.51
Quincy Lewis	45	45	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	5	0	15.8	18.0	-2.16	14.6	15.2	-0.69
Jeff Hornacek	60	59	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	3	4	16.6	17.5	-0.92	14.6	15.5	-0.94
Adam Keefe	8	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	13	-16	10.9	17.5	-6.62	7.6	15.5	-7.95
Pete Chilcutt	10	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	17	-24	17.9	16.8	1.11	11.4	15.4	-4.03
Greg Ostertag	9	9	-0.20	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	18	-26	20.2	16.5	3.67	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Howard Eisley	24	25	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.05	-11	21	-32	16.7	17.0	-0.28	13.0	15.6	-2.63
Jacque Vaughn	18	17	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	21	-32	15.1	17.4	-2.31	11.0	15.8	-4.81

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	14	14	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.01	7	-17	24	15.7	14.7	0.96	20.3	16.3	3.99
Cal Bowdler	27	28	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-13	16	15.1	14.8	0.30	16.9	16.9	-0.08
Jason Terry	47	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-10	10	14.9	14.9	-0.06	17.5	16.2	1.28
Bimbo Coles	43	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	0	-10	14.9	14.9	0.06	16.2	17.5	-1.28
Dikembe Mutombo	82	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	15.0	14.0	0.99	17.5	11.6	5.94
Isaiah Rider	83	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	0	-10	14.5	20.0	-5.53	16.3	24.3	-7.99
Jim Jackson	83	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.15	-17	7	-24	15.2	11.4	3.76	17.0	16.3	0.68
Alan Henderson	71	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.26	-16	6	-22	14.7	15.6	-0.86	16.3	19.4	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.44,0.11,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.1,0.09,0,0	92.4%
ORL 81, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.63,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.25,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	91.4%
MIA 89, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.38,0.23,0.1,0,0	91.2%