NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	7.5 [333]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +33.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	3.5 [198]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -24.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.13	-0.00	13	68%	0.25	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Byron Scott	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	2	111%	0.16	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.06
Eddie Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.07	0.01	14	56%	0.13	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	67%	0.13	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	25	62%	0.11	4	-0.12	16	69%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.23	0.13	0.03	30	68%	0.37	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wood	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	5	50%	-0.08	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	12	46%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	17	58%	0.02	4	-0.17	9	56%	-0.07
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.08	-0.02	13	27%	-0.08	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	33.4	15.5	23.5	2.3	34.6	133.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.6%

LAL +19.1%

MIL -19.1%

LAL +9.0%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.2	15.6	113.3	106.1	104.4
season	15.3	16.0		105.8	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		106.0	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	16.5	14.0	11.9	14.1
MIL	14.3	13.5	16.0	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	72	72	0.85	-0.34	1.19	0.47	13	-7	20	14.3	13.4	0.88	15.8	13.3	2.51
Shaquille O'Neal	88	90	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-8	22	13.6	18.1	-4.49	14.9	17.3	-2.39
Eddie Jones	88	90	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-5	16	13.4	19.9	-6.49	15.0	16.6	-1.53
Byron Scott	29	28	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.43	6	0	6	14.0	14.1	-0.10	17.7	14.2	3.56
Elden Campbell	74	74	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	4	-2	14.5	12.9	1.58	15.9	13.1	2.73
Jerome Kersey	40	40	0.16	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	3	0	14.7	13.6	1.10	15.2	15.1	0.11
Sean Rooks	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.04	1	5	-4	14.2	14.0	0.20	10.3	15.8	-5.49
Kobe Bryant	15	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	10	-14	14.8	13.9	0.86	16.7	14.9	1.85
Corie Blount	38	38	-0.14	0.65	-0.79	-0.12	-1	7	-8	14.3	13.9	0.36	14.1	15.8	-1.67
Travis Knight	8	9	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.03	-8	14	-22	17.1	13.8	3.32	13.0	15.4	-2.38
Derek Fisher	26	27	-0.34	0.85	-1.19	-0.14	-7	13	-20	13.4	14.3	-0.88	13.3	15.8	-2.51

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	27	28	0.23	-0.74	0.97	0.11	4	-10	14	15.4	15.1	0.34	14.6	13.9	0.70
Andrew Lang	41	39	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-8	10	14.4	15.7	-1.28	15.0	13.5	1.50
Johnny Newman	37	36	0.09	-0.60	0.69	0.03	2	-8	10	15.1	15.2	-0.13	14.2	14.0	0.24
Chucky Brown	8	8	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-8	10	15.0	15.2	-0.18	15.0	14.0	1.01
David Wood	1	1	0.02	-0.53	0.55	0.02	0	-6	6	0.0	15.3	-15.32	11.0	14.1	-3.10
Joe Wolf	14	14	-0.04	-0.47	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	11.1	15.8	-4.68	13.5	14.2	-0.67
Ray Allen	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	-2	-2	15.5	14.4	1.15	14.0	14.1	-0.08
Vin Baker	80	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.43	-3	-3	0	15.5	13.7	1.76	14.5	12.1	2.47
Glenn Robinson	95	94	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	4	-14	14.9	20.7	-5.82	14.0	15.0	-0.97
Armen Gilliam	54	54	-0.65	0.14	-0.79	-0.33	-11	5	-16	16.6	13.5	3.11	12.8	15.6	-2.80
Sherman Douglas	72	70	-0.75	0.24	-0.99	-0.46	-10	4	-14	15.1	15.4	-0.34	13.9	14.6	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.1,0.09,0,0	92.3%
POR 96, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.01,0	91.6%
BOS 101, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0	90.9%