NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	6.9 [423]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +64.7%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	369.4 [21]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -12.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.03,-0.01,0.16,0.13	-0.03	0.15	-0.01	20	60%	0.49	8	-0.36	8	87%	0.11
Tyler Zeller	0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	17	53%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	-0.01	-0.04	5	83%	0.05	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	12	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	11	41%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.65	0.65	0.19	0.47	0.01	15	69%	0.65	0	0.00	9	89%	0.17
Paul George	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,0.3	0.30	-0.03	0.32	-0.01	12	47%	0.34	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
David West	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	59%	0.07	1	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	2	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	8	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	1.8	31.1	15.8	34.0	1.8	41.1	154.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.9%

IND +19.1%

IND +16.8%

IND +0.8%

CLE -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.6	14.6	15.4	102.2	106.5	104.1
season	15.5	16.1		102.5	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.0	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.5	15.0	16.2	18.4	16.6
IND	14.8	17.7	15.2	10.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Zeller	56	59	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.11	4	-9	13	16.8	16.2	0.60	14.7	14.3	0.42
Omri Casspi	31	30	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.21	-3	-2	-1	16.3	16.8	-0.50	16.1	13.8	2.27
Marreese Speights	22	21	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.14	-1	-4	3	17.0	16.4	0.60	17.2	13.8	3.40
Shaun Livingston	55	55	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.36	14	-19	33	16.4	16.9	-0.46	15.4	13.4	2.01
Kevin Jones	29	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-5	5	14.7	17.5	-2.77	16.2	13.9	2.34
Kyrie Irving	70	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.52	-3	-2	-1	16.4	17.0	-0.60	13.7	17.2	-3.49
Alonzo Gee	61	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.56	-2	-3	1	16.8	16.3	0.50	13.8	16.1	-2.27
Tristan Thompson	69	71	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.49	-7	2	-9	16.7	16.4	0.26	13.5	18.0	-4.51
Wayne Ellington	67	68	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.09	-27	22	-49	17.3	14.7	2.62	14.3	15.4	-1.10

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Ayres	17	18	0.99	-0.49	1.49	0.32	23	-18	41	8.7	15.9	-7.16	17.4	16.4	1.00
David West	64	64	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.45	7	-2	9	13.7	16.5	-2.80	17.0	15.7	1.20
Lance Stephenson	64	64	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.45	7	-2	9	13.7	16.5	-2.80	17.0	15.7	1.20
George Hill	73	74	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.24	14	-9	23	14.0	16.7	-2.73	17.2	14.1	3.08
Paul George	66	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	2	1	14.4	14.9	-0.46	16.5	16.8	-0.27
Sam Young	9	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	-1	7	15.9	14.4	1.47	20.1	16.2	3.91
Gerald Green	18	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	9	-13	14.4	14.6	-0.21	15.1	16.9	-1.83
Roy Hibbert	43	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	5	-5	15.2	14.0	1.25	17.3	16.0	1.33
D.J. Augustin	30	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.13	0	5	-5	16.1	13.8	2.27	16.3	16.7	-0.45
Orlando Johnson	19	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.15	-11	16	-27	17.3	13.9	3.46	13.1	17.4	-4.26
Ian Mahinmi	30	29	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.12	-12	17	-29	16.8	13.5	3.31	15.5	17.1	-1.61
Tyler Hansbrough	32	31	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	13	-21	16.4	13.6	2.82	15.4	17.2	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 116, SAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.32,0.15,1	92.0%
NJN 87, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.31,1	91.5%
PHX 74, DET 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.22,0.42,1	91.3%