NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	7.6 [339]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +35.2%
Sacramento Kings	88		Comeback	53.4 [47]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -35.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikki Moore	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.03	8	92%	0.19	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Josh Boone	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hassan Adams	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	16	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	8	44%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.15	-0.01	-0.17	-0.03	16	53%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.08
Vince Carter	-0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.19,-0.35	-0.16	-0.26	-0.06	11	33%	0.00	5	-0.35	2	0%	-0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.06,0.11,0.35	0.35	0.02	0.32	-0.02	14	48%	0.38	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.06
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	31%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.09	-0.02	22	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	12	37%	-0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.3	-0.30	-0.04	-0.24	0.02	9	50%	-0.24	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	27.2	15.6	27.2	2.3	35.4	134.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -24.5%

SAC +21.4%

SAC +20.3%

SAC +32.3%

SAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAC	NBA	NJN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	15.8	15.4	95.6	95.7	104.5
season	15.4	14.7		103.1	104.7
opponent	15.1	15.7		106.0	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.3	16.6	13.1	20.2	15.6
SAC	18.0	16.1	15.7	13.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	33	33	0.32	-0.82	1.13	-0.04	12	-13	25	11.8	17.8	-6.01	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Hassan Adams	47	47	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.23	11	-12	23	12.4	19.1	-6.67	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Josh Boone	31	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	0	-1	17.0	15.0	2.00	16.3	15.6	0.65
Marcus Williams	12	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	1	-3	18.5	15.2	3.28	18.8	15.4	3.40
Bostjan Nachbar	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	8	-17	19.0	13.2	5.82	16.7	15.2	1.50
Mikki Moore	68	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.47	9	-10	19	15.0	17.5	-2.51	16.1	14.9	1.21
Eddie House	47	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-5	9	14.9	16.4	-1.47	14.9	16.9	-1.94
Jason Kidd	75	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.50	1	-2	3	15.4	16.7	-1.34	15.4	17.6	-2.18
Vince Carter	53	55	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.48	-8	7	-15	16.4	14.6	1.75	15.8	15.9	-0.11
Clifford Robinson	50	50	-1.02	0.52	-1.55	-0.38	-22	21	-43	18.2	12.5	5.71	15.5	16.2	-0.67

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	40	40	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.41	20	-19	39	15.3	16.2	-0.89	18.8	13.2	5.67
John Salmons	49	48	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.44	17	-16	33	15.8	15.9	-0.11	17.7	13.4	4.27
Metta World Peace	77	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	-1	3	15.4	17.9	-2.44	15.2	18.0	-2.82
Mike Bibby	65	64	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.57	-3	4	-7	15.0	17.7	-2.66	15.6	15.7	-0.03
Brad Miller	71	70	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.55	-3	4	-7	15.2	18.0	-2.82	14.6	19.1	-4.54
Corliss Williamson	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.13	6	-5	11	17.3	15.0	2.33	18.0	14.4	3.58
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	24	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	1	-1	18.1	15.0	3.11	18.3	14.7	3.63
Quincy Douby	6	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	5	-9	21.7	15.4	6.25	14.3	15.7	-1.41
Kenny Thomas	44	43	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.04	-11	12	-23	15.6	16.0	-0.41	12.9	18.1	-5.29
Kevin Martin	52	51	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	0.07	-19	20	-39	16.2	15.3	0.89	13.2	18.8	-5.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.31,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.2,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.17,1	93.4%
PHI 101, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.36,0.45,0.27,1	91.6%
MEM 82, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.04,1	91.5%