NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	116		Excitement	9.4 [139]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): +75.0%
Sacramento Kings	117		Comeback	83.8 [33]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): -19.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonzo Ball	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.01	13	77%	0.24	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.17	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.17	0.01	0.18	0.02	24	58%	0.32	6	-0.15	9	78%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	59%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	92%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	44%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Alex Caruso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	19	48%	0.04	5	-0.09	8	62%	-0.03
Ivica Zubac	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.75	0.75	0.08	0.66	-0.01	16	66%	0.84	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	12	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.01	8	48%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.11
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	15	59%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	13	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.31,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.07	-0.04	20	34%	-0.09	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.6	14.8	25.4	1.8	33.4	132.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -2.3%

SAC +34.1%

SAC +11.8%

SAC +4.1%

SAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	12.9	14.3	109.4	110.4	109.3
season	13.5	13.3		107.2	109.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		110.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.2	15.8	15.5	14.9	14.3
SAC	14.0	11.9	13.9	11.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	43	44	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.00	9	-10	19	13.5	14.9	-1.39	13.3	12.6	0.71
Lonzo Ball	82	84	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.15	3	-4	7	13.8	15.9	-2.10	13.1	12.1	0.94
Alex Caruso	8	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	1	-3	15.5	14.2	1.31	16.1	12.6	3.50
Svi Mykhailiuk	2	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	1	-3	12.5	14.3	-1.83	7.7	13.0	-5.36
Ivica Zubac	47	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.17	-8	7	-15	15.3	13.5	1.88	11.6	13.8	-2.18
Brandon Ingram	86	84	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.49	7	-8	15	14.0	15.4	-1.43	12.5	14.3	-1.76
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	60	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.67	7	-8	15	14.2	14.5	-0.29	13.7	11.8	1.91
Tyson Chandler	44	44	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.71	7	-8	15	13.5	14.8	-1.32	13.8	12.2	1.61
Josh Hart	71	73	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.42	-13	12	-25	14.6	13.7	0.95	12.5	13.7	-1.19
Kyle Kuzma	87	88	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.44	-13	12	-25	15.0	11.1	3.95	12.7	13.9	-1.29

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	73	75	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.41	14	-13	27	11.8	15.2	-3.30	15.5	11.3	4.29
De'Aaron Fox	80	78	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.43	12	-11	23	12.4	14.4	-2.00	14.1	14.9	-0.77
Bogdan Bogdanovic	66	65	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.64	0	1	-1	13.0	12.7	0.20	14.3	14.2	0.08
Nemanja Bjelica	64	62	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.62	0	1	-1	13.3	12.2	1.10	14.1	14.6	-0.51
Buddy Hield	67	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.68	-3	4	-7	12.9	12.9	0.01	13.6	15.6	-2.05
Yogi Ferrell	7	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	6	-11	15.6	12.7	2.88	20.6	13.8	6.85
Ben McLemore	18	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	9	-17	13.6	12.7	0.82	12.4	14.7	-2.34
Justin Jackson	58	58	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.22	1	0	1	13.2	12.5	0.65	14.3	14.2	0.12
Iman Shumpert	81	81	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.40	7	-6	13	12.5	14.0	-1.42	14.8	12.5	2.32
Kosta Koufos	16	16	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	14	-27	16.6	12.2	4.41	9.4	15.2	-5.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.32,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.16,1	92.0%
PHI 100, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.33,0.09,1	90.3%
HOU 75, SAS 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.42,1	89.7%