NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	74		Excitement	6.2 [579]		MVP	Austin Daye (DET): +11.4%
Detroit Pistons	75		Comeback	35.2 [36]		LVP	Grant Hill (PHX): -22.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	65%	0.10	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	8	74%	0.11	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	14	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.18	-0.02	-0.16	-0.00	11	37%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	14	29%	-0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.12	-0.00	11	46%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.06	0.02	8	57%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	7	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	19	42%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	15	31%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	3.0	25.1	17.4	21.5	3.4	38.9	133.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +4.1%

PHX -3.6%

DET +18.1%

DET +20.6%

DET +10.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DET	NBA	PHX	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	19.4	15.5	90.2	91.5	105.7
season	14.5	16.7		108.0	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.7		110.1	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	16.6	13.2	20.1	15.7
DET	22.4	17.7	22.8	15.1	19.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	25	25	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.05	6	-7	13	12.5	17.1	-4.64	23.4	17.7	5.73
Hakim Warrick	21	22	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.03	5	-6	11	19.5	14.4	5.07	17.0	20.3	-3.24
Mickael Pietrus	13	13	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-2	3	17.0	15.5	1.54	17.8	19.7	-1.86
Goran Dragic	20	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	1	-3	20.2	14.2	6.01	16.3	20.4	-4.05
Channing Frye	59	57	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	0	-1	14.1	19.9	-5.85	20.2	17.5	2.73
Vince Carter	54	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.54	5	-6	11	16.3	14.5	1.78	18.6	21.2	-2.55
Steve Nash	64	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.55	-1	0	-1	14.2	21.0	-6.78	20.4	15.9	4.52
Marcin Gortat	56	54	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.39	-9	8	-17	17.4	12.1	5.32	18.5	21.1	-2.57
Jared Dudley	48	48	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.47	-7	6	-13	16.8	14.2	2.62	18.0	21.4	-3.46
Grant Hill	50	51	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.66	-2	1	-3	13.8	18.6	-4.78	21.1	16.7	4.40

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	37	36	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.55	5	-4	9	15.8	22.4	-6.57	19.4	12.8	6.56
Tayshaun Prince	68	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-5	11	20.1	16.0	4.12	14.9	19.3	-4.36
Austin Daye	47	48	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-5	11	18.0	21.3	-3.21	18.1	12.4	5.73
Ben Wallace	44	42	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.57	-1	2	-3	16.7	22.5	-5.75	18.5	12.8	5.68
Ben Gordon	44	42	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.54	0	1	-1	16.7	22.5	-5.75	18.5	12.8	5.68
Tracy McGrady	40	42	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	-2	5	22.4	16.6	5.83	12.8	18.7	-5.89
Greg Monroe	38	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	0	1	22.5	16.7	5.75	12.8	18.5	-5.68
Jason Maxiell	8	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	5	-9	15.1	19.9	-4.75	18.5	15.4	3.09
Chris Wilcox	32	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.08	-3	4	-7	23.1	17.1	5.98	12.7	17.8	-5.09
Rodney Stuckey	52	52	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	9	-17	20.7	17.2	3.44	13.6	19.4	-5.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.22,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 75, SAS 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.42,1	92.5%
MIL 96, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.18,1	92.2%
UTA 101, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.42,1	92.0%