NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	8.7 [157]		MVP	Deron Williams (BKN): +52.6%
Brooklyn Nets	90		Comeback	6.2 [96]		LVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): -31.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.33	0.03	0.29	-0.01	8	60%	0.35	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15	0.00	0.13	-0.01	15	56%	0.19	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.10	0.01	22	56%	0.28	3	-0.14	8	62%	-0.09
Jimmy Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.10	-0.01	15	50%	0.17	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Teague	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.16,0.39,0.53	0.53	0.15	0.37	-0.00	16	67%	0.65	3	-0.12	13	77%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.07,0.07,0,0.28,0.28	0.28	-0.01	0.27	-0.03	11	50%	0.30	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	14%	-0.02	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	6	53%	0.05	4	-0.17	3	67%	-0.03
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.32	-0.32	0.08	-0.37	0.02	19	58%	-0.13	2	-0.18	10	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.0	33.1	18.4	26.0	3.4	46.0	156.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +48.8%

BKN -40.8%

CHI +18.1%

CHI +29.2%

BKN -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.4	97.9	98.9	104.1
season	16.6	16.5		101.7	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.2	14.8	16.7	16.4	16.0
BKN	13.8	16.5	15.3	14.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	82	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.41	7	-5	12	16.4	13.5	2.90	15.4	12.8	2.57
Nazr Mohammed	70	69	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-4	10	16.4	14.8	1.61	15.4	14.2	1.14
Nate Robinson	45	43	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-6	14	15.5	16.5	-1.00	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Luol Deng	85	82	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.49	-2	4	-6	15.7	19.1	-3.41	14.9	16.7	-1.75
Carlos Boozer	87	85	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	1	0	16.5	10.6	5.90	14.9	17.3	-2.40
Daequan Cook	14	11	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	1	0	11.4	16.8	-5.41	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Marquis Teague	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	2	-2	1.0	16.2	-15.19	10.0	15.1	-5.14
Vladimir Radmanovic	24	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	6	-10	14.8	16.4	-1.61	14.2	15.4	-1.14
Kirk Hinrich	62	61	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.08	-7	9	-16	17.0	14.1	2.94	15.4	14.4	0.98

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	54	56	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-4	6	15.1	15.1	0.01	16.7	15.0	1.78
Kris Humphries	26	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	3	-8	14.9	15.2	-0.23	13.9	17.0	-3.10
MarShon Brooks	21	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	5	-12	15.7	14.9	0.81	14.0	16.6	-2.59
Andray Blatche	23	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	4	-10	15.3	15.0	0.29	15.4	16.2	-0.79
Brook Lopez	68	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-6	10	15.0	15.3	-0.29	16.2	15.4	0.79
Reggie Evans	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.36	3	-5	8	15.2	14.9	0.23	17.2	13.4	3.84
CJ Watson	18	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	3	-8	15.2	15.1	0.17	12.6	16.9	-4.30
Joe Johnson	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-4	6	15.4	14.3	1.11	17.2	13.6	3.56
Deron Williams	75	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-5	8	14.9	15.9	-0.95	16.5	13.7	2.84
Keith Bogans	42	45	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-1	0	14.5	15.6	-1.09	14.7	17.2	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.58,0	90.5%
LAL 105, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.73,0	90.0%
DET 107, BOS 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.58,0	89.9%