inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 107 Excitement8.6 [183] MVPJared Sullinger (BOS): +36.2%
Boston Celtics 106 Comeback8.8 [149] LVPJeff Green (BOS): -40.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Jennings0.360,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.360.050.30-0.012158%0.444-0.08683%-0.00
Josh Smith0.100,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.10.060.050.001851%0.1000.003100%0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.040,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.02764%0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Harrellson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.020.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kyle Singler0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.050.01852%0.062-0.04580%0.07
Andre Drummond0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.001164%0.123-0.1100%0.00
Will Bynum0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.011100%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.00343%0.0000.001100%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01560%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.011241%-0.003-0.10540%-0.03

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jared Sullinger0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.35,0.360.360.050.29-0.021459%0.382-0.02475%-0.07
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.030.12-0.05671%0.262-0.072100%0.02
Phil Pressey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01671%0.104-0.102100%0.02
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.030.011158%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Vitor Faverani0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.030.00367%0.021-0.0500%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.02-0.090.01669%-0.022-0.05475%0.00
Jordan Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.03-0.090.011545%-0.092-0.048100%0.05
Jeff Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.4-0.40-0.03-0.360.001350%-0.353-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.427.215.825.42.535.3132.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +61.8%
BOS -6.9%
BOS -12.3%
BOS -1.1%
DET +8.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETBOSNBADETBOSNBA
this game14.814.315.1109.2106.0105.2
season15.015.4104.7101.2
opponent15.015.0106.0108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.513.614.717.614.8
BOS12.615.114.715.114.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Drummond77790.81-0.311.120.4014-132715.512.03.5714.812.82.00
Brandon Jennings78810.61-0.110.720.2612-112315.611.63.9615.011.43.67
Kyle Singler52540.330.170.150.50-67-1314.115.5-1.3214.614.00.63
Josh Smith68690.280.220.060.52-89-1714.914.40.5614.214.7-0.49
Chauncey Billups41440.190.31-0.110.22-12-313.215.9-2.7214.214.4-0.24
Greg Monroe67680.190.31-0.13-0.1110-91915.014.30.6315.013.01.97
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope55550.120.38-0.270.15-12-315.513.81.7214.114.6-0.51
Jonas Jerebko990.040.46-0.42-0.084-3715.014.70.2716.614.12.43
Josh Harrellson28270.040.46-0.420.24-78-1513.615.2-1.5612.315.1-2.80
Will Bynum1514-0.100.60-0.710.25-1213-2510.615.5-4.918.415.3-6.96

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Olynyk1312-0.00-0.500.500.15-54-916.514.02.4415.214.70.56
Brandon Bass5655-0.03-0.470.440.03-21-314.713.80.8915.913.32.51
Kris Humphries4141-0.11-0.390.28-0.141-2313.514.9-1.3612.716.2-3.48
Phil Pressey2221-0.17-0.330.15-0.08-32-513.614.6-0.9614.414.8-0.42
Gerald Wallace4444-0.19-0.310.13-0.366-71313.914.7-0.7714.814.70.11
Vitor Faverani2423-0.23-0.270.040.03-98-1714.414.30.0512.915.3-2.41
Jared Sullinger6665-0.25-0.250.01-0.6313-142714.114.9-0.7815.713.02.69
Avery Bradley6766-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.477-81514.114.7-0.5814.814.70.10
Courtney Lee3232-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.03-98-1714.714.20.5114.814.70.04
Jordan Crawford7372-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.393-4714.314.4-0.0914.814.60.24
Jeff Green6259-0.650.15-0.80-0.45-76-1315.013.31.6514.714.8-0.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 90, CHI 830.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.26,090.7%
POR 100, DEN 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.08,090.0%
CHI 92, BKN 900.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.73,089.9%