NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	9.5 [78]		MVP	Nikola Pekovic (MIN): +42.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	3.5 [362]		LVP	Derrick Williams (MIN): -35.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.4	0.11	0.28	-0.01	15	68%	0.51	4	-0.11	8	50%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.38	0.04	0.35	0.01	26	55%	0.48	4	-0.10	10	100%	0.18
Matt Barnes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Kapono	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.10	-0.01	8	56%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22,-0.22	-0.01	-0.20	0.01	6	53%	-0.16	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.43	0.43	0.14	0.31	0.02	14	66%	0.43	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,0,0,0.25,0.23	0.23	-0.05	0.27	-0.01	11	45%	0.31	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	8	69%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	68%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.02	12	52%	-0.03	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	3	20%	-0.07	1	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.36	-0.36	-0.00	-0.35	0.01	19	51%	-0.24	3	-0.12	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.7	31.4	16.4	23.5	2.3	38.4	143.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -15.9%

LAL +36.6%

LAL +26.4%

LAL +0.8%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.6	114.1	110.9	102.8
season	16.2	15.3		103.8	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.7	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.6	15.5	15.9	18.1	15.7
MIN	14.6	18.1	16.1	14.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	82	82	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-9	21	15.5	17.1	-1.56	15.8	13.7	2.13
Matt Barnes	42	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	-3	9	16.3	15.2	1.07	15.4	15.7	-0.33
Derek Fisher	42	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.24	5	-2	7	16.9	14.7	2.25	15.6	15.6	0.07
Kobe Bryant	73	73	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.39	-3	6	-9	15.8	15.4	0.43	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Pau Gasol	70	70	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.46	-8	11	-19	15.5	16.3	-0.80	15.3	16.4	-1.07
Jason Kapono	19	19	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	-3	9	15.4	15.8	-0.43	16.7	15.3	1.37
Steve Blake	47	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	3	-3	15.3	16.1	-0.79	15.6	15.6	0.02
Josh McRoberts	27	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	-3	9	17.3	15.1	2.20	16.5	15.2	1.30
Metta World Peace	53	54	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.21	-5	8	-13	14.6	17.2	-2.56	15.5	15.8	-0.33
Troy Murphy	5	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	7	-11	12.8	15.9	-3.07	12.2	15.7	-3.50

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	72	75	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-6	9	15.5	15.8	-0.26	15.9	14.9	0.94
Anthony Tolliver	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-3	3	15.3	15.6	-0.29	18.0	15.4	2.57
Darko Milicic	16	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	3	-9	14.9	15.7	-0.88	14.9	15.9	-0.94
Michael Beasley	32	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	2	-7	16.1	15.3	0.81	14.8	16.2	-1.39
Nikola Pekovic	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-6	9	15.9	14.2	1.74	15.9	14.9	0.94
Wesley Johnson	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.41	1	-4	5	15.2	16.0	-0.78	14.7	16.9	-2.12
Luke Ridnour	74	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-2	1	15.7	15.0	0.74	15.8	15.3	0.49
Derrick Williams	83	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	0	-3	15.6	15.3	0.29	15.4	18.0	-2.57
Martell Webster	49	48	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.38	-7	4	-11	15.2	16.0	-0.80	16.9	14.4	2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.58,0	91.1%
SAC 104, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.45,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.42,0	90.8%
NOH 98, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.37,0.44,0.85,0	90.5%