NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	9.4 [100]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +12.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	3.6 [625]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -27.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,0,0.13	-0.06	0.18	-0.01	16	53%	0.29	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	13	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.05	0.12	-0.00	12	50%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Keon Clark	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.07	-0.05	2	43%	0.01	2	-0.09	3	33%	0.03
Chris Webber	-0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27	-0.10	-0.17	0.00	27	46%	-0.08	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cezary Trybanski	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	59%	0.10	2	-0.12	7	71%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	16	47%	0.07	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	15	34%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	6	41%	-0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.15	-0.03	18	51%	-0.07	2	-0.10	11	55%	-0.08
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	12	42%	-0.08	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	29.0	15.8	25.1	2.5	36.2	133.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.5%

MEM -2.1%

SAC +23.7%

MEM -11.1%

MEM -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	13.2	15.0	15.5	101.0	96.1	101.6
season	14.0	15.3		104.4	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.7		105.1	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	13.9	10.6	14.4	13.2
MEM	14.2	16.1	15.1	14.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	47	46	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-7	20	13.4	12.9	0.54	16.5	13.7	2.74
Mike Bibby	87	83	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	0	6	12.6	16.0	-3.37	15.3	13.3	2.01
Keon Clark	36	34	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	-3	12	14.3	12.5	1.81	15.9	14.5	1.49
Vlade Divac	85	86	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	4	-2	13.5	11.4	2.14	14.3	18.2	-3.84
Hedo Turkoglu	37	36	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	2	2	14.7	12.3	2.46	15.8	14.5	1.32
Chris Webber	85	84	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	5	-4	12.3	17.3	-5.00	15.2	13.9	1.22
Peja Stojakovic	70	71	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	5	-4	12.5	14.5	-2.05	14.6	15.7	-1.09
Doug Christie	68	70	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.30	-6	12	-18	13.4	12.6	0.84	13.4	18.3	-4.90

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cezary Trybanski	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-3	0	20.5	14.6	5.90	18.3	12.8	5.50
Brevin Knight	29	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	3	-12	18.4	13.6	4.79	13.2	13.1	0.06
Drew Gooden	69	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-7	8	14.1	16.7	-2.58	13.1	13.4	-0.29
Mike Batiste	23	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	4	-14	18.7	13.8	4.89	13.0	13.2	-0.26
Pau Gasol	88	88	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.34	4	-10	14	14.2	19.7	-5.52	13.0	14.3	-1.38
Earl Watson	12	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	2	-10	19.1	14.4	4.68	15.2	12.9	2.28
Shane Battier	41	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-1	-4	16.1	14.2	1.96	13.7	12.8	0.85
Gordan Giricek	82	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-6	6	14.5	16.9	-2.49	12.7	15.0	-2.32
Jason Williams	73	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.38	3	-9	12	13.6	18.4	-4.79	13.1	13.2	-0.06
Lorenzen Wright	87	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-3	0	14.3	18.5	-4.20	13.1	13.7	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.45,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.51,0.46,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.42,0	91.6%
PHX 124, MIA 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.14,0.29,0.6,0.32,0.11,0.22,0.08,0	91.3%
POR 102, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.58,0	91.0%