NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	124		Excitement	9.8 [111]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (MIA): +55.1%
Miami Heat	121		Comeback	4.4 [91]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -36.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.28	0.06	0.26	0.05	11	62%	0.30	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.16	0.10	0.00	6	108%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.25	-0.02	0.25	-0.02	16	54%	0.43	4	-0.18	5	100%	0.12
Deandre Ayton	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21	0.02	0.19	0.00	11	54%	0.24	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Tyler Johnson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	12	67%	0.20	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	9	73%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Richaun Holmes	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
De'Anthony Melton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	14	39%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.55	0.55	0.16	0.37	-0.02	17	78%	0.64	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.01,0.48	0.48	0.03	0.45	-0.01	11	52%	0.51	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.04
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.06	0.02	19	72%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.07	-0.01	7	67%	0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.06	0.02	10	30%	-0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.37	-0.37	-0.11	-0.30	-0.04	14	39%	-0.25	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.0	28.2	14.7	27.2	0.2	35.0	134.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +51.5%

PHX +9.3%

MIA -9.9%

MIA -6.0%

PHX +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIA	NBA	PHX	MIA	NBA
this game	13.1	14.7	14.3	120.4	116.3	109.3
season	14.4	14.8		104.8	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.0		106.7	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	11.5	12.4	14.1	13.1
MIA	14.4	13.0	15.3	16.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	35	36	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.42	17	-14	31	13.4	13.0	0.40	15.2	14.4	0.83
Devin Booker	68	71	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.66	4	-1	5	13.6	12.2	1.37	15.1	13.8	1.22
Mikal Bridges	72	74	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	0	3	13.0	13.5	-0.59	14.3	15.6	-1.29
Deandre Ayton	53	53	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.41	-4	7	-11	13.4	12.9	0.54	15.2	14.1	1.15
Richaun Holmes	50	51	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	-4	11	12.9	13.4	-0.54	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Kelly Oubre Jr.	55	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	6	-9	13.2	13.1	0.10	14.8	14.5	0.26
Josh Jackson	57	55	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	5	-7	12.4	14.0	-1.64	14.3	15.1	-0.72
Jamal Crawford	47	46	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	4	-5	12.9	13.3	-0.41	14.3	15.0	-0.72
Tyler Johnson	66	68	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	6	-9	13.1	13.1	0.00	14.8	14.5	0.24
De'Anthony Melton	13	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	13.8	13.0	0.72	14.1	14.8	-0.68

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	15	16	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-7	11	14.1	14.8	-0.72	12.8	13.2	-0.38
Hassan Whiteside	53	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-3	3	15.7	13.6	2.15	13.5	12.7	0.88
Duncan Robinson	47	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	0	-3	15.2	14.2	0.97	14.0	12.4	1.56
Josh Richardson	81	80	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-10	17	14.4	15.7	-1.24	13.1	13.3	-0.22
Goran Dragic	52	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	2	-7	14.0	15.3	-1.33	12.8	13.5	-0.73
Bam Adebayo	50	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	0	-3	13.8	15.5	-1.66	12.7	13.5	-0.88
Dion Waiters	66	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	2	-7	15.7	13.0	2.69	13.0	13.5	-0.53
Dwyane Wade	67	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	0	-3	14.0	15.9	-1.92	13.1	13.3	-0.20
Kelly Olynyk	89	87	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.40	-7	4	-11	14.8	14.1	0.72	13.2	12.8	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.14,0.29,0.6,0.32,0.11,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.14,0.08,0	92.3%
LAL 123, ATL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.27,0.14,0.19,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.16,0.04,0	92.1%
CHI 100, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.23,0.3,0.29,0.53,0.31,0.11,0.04,0,0	91.5%