NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	84		Excitement	3.7 [1094]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +12.4%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	1.2 [1148]		LVP	John Lucas III (TOR): -8.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Fields	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	6	47%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Terrence Ross	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	65%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	15	49%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.04	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	14	45%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	47%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
John Lucas III	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	11	18%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.01	19	58%	0.16	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.04
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	11	67%	0.13	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	7	86%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.01	0.08	16	62%	0.05	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	30.3	16.8	29.4	2.6	26.0	130.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +20.8%

NYK +8.1%

NYK +4.4%

NYK +15.3%

NYK +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.4	93.3	122.2	104.1
season	16.1	16.2		104.4	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.3	16.2	16.6	15.2	16.0
NYK	15.0	17.3	17.7	14.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	31	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-28	30	16.0	16.1	-0.02	17.0	15.4	1.65
Terrence Ross	61	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.28	-16	-10	-6	16.0	16.2	-0.29	15.4	17.1	-1.67
John Lucas III	44	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.24	-17	-9	-8	16.0	16.0	0.00	14.1	17.6	-3.53
Kyle Lowry	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.20	-16	-10	-6	16.1	16.0	0.12	16.8	14.4	2.34
Alan Anderson	53	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-10	-6	16.2	15.8	0.40	17.0	14.3	2.64
Landry Fields	70	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.11	-19	-7	-12	16.0	16.2	-0.20	16.2	15.2	0.99
Jonas Valanciunas	59	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.37	-28	2	-30	16.1	16.0	0.02	15.4	17.0	-1.65
DeMar DeRozan	74	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.06	-20	-6	-14	16.0	16.2	-0.17	15.9	16.3	-0.40

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	49	50	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	7	12	16.7	15.0	1.71	16.3	15.7	0.53
Carmelo Anthony	55	56	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	10	6	16.4	15.3	1.14	16.1	16.0	0.07
Pablo Prigioni	50	51	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.29	25	1	24	16.6	15.1	1.50	16.6	15.4	1.21
Iman Shumpert	38	40	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.08	16	10	6	17.3	15.0	2.31	15.8	16.2	-0.40
Raymond Felton	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.17	15	11	4	16.3	15.5	0.76	16.5	15.4	1.05
Jason Kidd	44	43	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.13	13	13	0	14.5	17.3	-2.80	16.2	15.9	0.36
J.R. Smith	60	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.19	12	14	-2	15.3	17.2	-1.92	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Steve Novak	49	48	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	21	-16	15.3	16.8	-1.52	15.7	16.4	-0.68
James White	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	17.0	15.8	1.17	14.0	16.3	-2.30
Chris Copeland	41	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.21	7	19	-12	15.0	16.7	-1.71	15.7	16.3	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 75, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
HOU 99, MIA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CLE 101, NJN 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%