NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	3.7 [1035]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +19.3%
New Jersey Nets	111		Comeback	1.1 [814]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -9.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.26	0.01	0.08	9	122%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.01	0.11	23	67%	0.05	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02
Cedric Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	59%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	7	19%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	12	61%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	18	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.04	12	62%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	15	61%	0.02	2	-0.03	14	93%	0.02
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	23.6	14.8	24.2	2.7	37.2	132.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +15.3%

NJN +11.3%

NJN +13.2%

NJN +10.0%

NJN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	14.1	17.4	15.2	111.0	120.7	101.7
season	14.1	15.5		98.0	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.3		103.3	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.7	16.5	15.1	11.8	14.1
NJN	15.0	16.2	16.2	23.0	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Henderson	16	16	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-10	10	16.2	13.6	2.66	15.6	17.8	-2.15
Ryan Stack	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	7.0	14.1	-7.13	10.0	17.6	-7.57
Andre Miller	39	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-17	24	14.2	14.0	0.17	19.7	15.7	3.93
Mark Bryant	40	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-15	20	15.7	12.8	2.89	19.0	16.1	2.84
Wesley Person	59	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-14	18	13.9	14.4	-0.49	18.3	15.7	2.55
Lamond Murray	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	0	-10	14.8	13.2	1.56	15.4	19.7	-4.27
Andrew DeClercq	58	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	3	-16	13.6	14.9	-1.29	16.6	18.6	-1.98
Bob Sura	61	63	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	4	-18	13.8	14.6	-0.81	17.4	17.4	0.03
Brevin Knight	62	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	5	-20	13.7	14.8	-1.13	16.7	18.8	-2.07
Shawn Kemp	69	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	6	-22	13.2	16.6	-3.34	17.7	16.5	1.19

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-5	20	17.5	17.0	0.59	13.8	14.8	-0.92
Kerry Kittles	65	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-3	16	17.2	17.8	-0.58	13.5	15.4	-1.98
Kendall Gill	59	59	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-2	14	17.1	18.0	-0.88	14.4	13.4	0.95
Stephon Marbury	68	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	2	6	17.2	17.9	-0.64	13.9	14.5	-0.65
Jamie Feick	69	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	10	-10	17.7	16.4	1.29	14.1	13.9	0.25
Sherman Douglas	24	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	8	-6	17.9	17.2	0.64	14.5	13.9	0.65
Michael Cage	11	10	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	4	2	18.2	17.3	0.89	14.4	14.0	0.39
Jim McIlvaine	12	13	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	6	-2	14.8	17.8	-2.95	13.5	14.2	-0.69
Johnny Newman	33	32	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	12	-14	18.0	17.1	0.88	13.4	14.4	-0.95
Lucious Harris	27	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	13	-16	17.8	17.2	0.58	15.4	13.5	1.98
Scott Burrell	22	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	15	-20	17.0	17.5	-0.59	14.8	13.8	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 75, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
BOS 94, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
TOR 84, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%