NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	9.3 [97]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (DET): +61.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	91		Comeback	4.8 [195]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHA): -23.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.61	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.61	0.13	0.48	-0.01	13	69%	0.61	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	13	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	8	72%	0.24	5	-0.29	2	50%	-0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	11	25%	-0.09	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.01	3	100%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	-0.00	14	57%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	65%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,-0.01,0.2,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	20	56%	0.27	4	-0.18	5	100%	0.14
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.09	-0.00	10	52%	-0.04	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.02
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	4	50%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	0.00	5	0%	-0.11	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	7	21%	-0.16	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.0	26.2	15.5	25.3	2.3	34.2	131.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +115.0%

CHA -56.5%

CHA -1.7%

CHA -10.6%

DET +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHA	NBA	DET	CHA	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.4	100.0	98.9	104.1
season	15.7	15.6		102.3	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.9	16.5	16.7	15.4	16.4
CHA	15.1	13.5	13.9	17.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	58	58	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.58	7	-6	13	16.5	16.2	0.25	15.0	14.7	0.28
Charlie Villanueva	37	37	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.58	7	-6	13	15.9	16.7	-0.84	15.8	14.3	1.55
Brandon Knight	69	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.53	0	1	-1	16.2	16.9	-0.70	15.6	12.8	2.75
Greg Monroe	58	57	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	1	-1	16.6	16.0	0.67	13.9	16.5	-2.63
Khris Middleton	31	30	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-8	17	16.6	16.3	0.38	15.6	14.6	0.97
Kyle Singler	54	55	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	7	-13	16.1	16.8	-0.68	14.2	15.9	-1.73
Will Bynum	13	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	0	1	16.4	16.4	-0.01	14.8	14.9	-0.09
Jonas Jerebko	42	42	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	3	-5	16.0	16.7	-0.76	15.8	14.1	1.69
Jason Maxiell	41	41	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.14	-3	4	-7	16.7	16.1	0.57	15.0	14.8	0.20
Jose Calderon	57	58	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.08	-8	9	-17	16.8	15.7	1.05	14.0	16.5	-2.47

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	38	37	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.08	8	-9	17	15.4	14.6	0.82	16.0	16.7	-0.65
Ben Gordon	30	29	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.13	4	-5	9	15.0	14.9	0.13	15.9	16.6	-0.67
Jeff Adrien	10	10	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-4	7	18.1	14.5	3.58	15.0	16.6	-1.56
Byron Mullens	42	44	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-4	7	13.3	16.3	-2.95	17.4	15.5	1.86
Jeff Taylor	36	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	4	-9	13.9	15.6	-1.68	16.9	16.1	0.73
Bismack Biyombo	69	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	1	-3	14.0	17.6	-3.59	16.6	15.7	0.87
Gerald Henderson	63	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.57	2	-3	5	15.0	14.6	0.43	16.3	16.6	-0.31
Kemba Walker	70	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.52	-2	1	-3	15.0	14.6	0.36	16.5	16.1	0.37
Jannero Pargo	56	56	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.43	-6	5	-11	14.8	15.1	-0.28	16.4	16.4	0.00
Josh McRoberts	46	45	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.49	-10	9	-19	17.2	12.6	4.57	15.7	17.1	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, TOR 86	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.71,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.28,0	92.2%
NJN 88, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	91.4%
UTA 107, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.26,0	91.3%