NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	113		Excitement	6.0 [600]		MVP	Deron Williams (BKN): +24.1%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	2.4 [292]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (DAL): -10.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.09	0.17	0.01	25	58%	0.31	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0.24	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.21	0.06	0.03	22	70%	0.33	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	7	87%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	6	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	10	80%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	82%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	6	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.07	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mike James	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	14	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.8	29.1	17.6	28.4	3.4	30.6	137.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +5.4%

BKN +11.2%

BKN +27.4%

BKN +8.9%

DAL -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DAL	NBA	BKN	DAL	NBA
this game	17.9	13.7	15.4	124.2	105.5	104.1
season	16.5	14.5		106.5	104.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.0	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	19.5	18.3	15.1	19.2	17.9
DAL	12.6	13.0	14.2	15.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	60	58	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.05	23	-6	29	18.5	16.8	1.78	14.5	12.3	2.24
Keith Bogans	50	50	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.06	17	0	17	18.4	17.4	0.92	12.9	14.6	-1.69
Brook Lopez	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	6	5	17.3	20.3	-2.93	13.7	13.7	0.05
Reggie Evans	57	56	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	7	3	19.6	15.1	4.47	14.7	12.1	2.58
Deron Williams	77	79	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	11	-5	17.8	18.9	-1.08	13.9	12.2	1.67
Andray Blatche	39	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	8	1	17.5	18.3	-0.85	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Gerald Wallace	55	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	7	3	17.8	18.2	-0.46	14.0	13.2	0.78
CJ Watson	21	20	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	6	5	17.1	18.2	-1.10	12.6	14.0	-1.35
Mirza Teletovic	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	20	-23	15.2	18.2	-2.95	8.9	14.2	-5.29
MarShon Brooks	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	20	-23	15.2	18.2	-2.95	8.9	14.2	-5.29
Jerry Stackhouse	8	9	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	23	-29	17.2	18.0	-0.76	14.2	13.6	0.58

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	39	39	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-25	33	14.4	13.2	1.19	18.8	17.3	1.44
Chris Wright	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	8.0	13.8	-5.77	13.5	18.0	-4.54
Bernard James	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	8.0	13.8	-5.77	13.5	18.0	-4.54
Anthony Morrow	22	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-12	7	13.7	13.7	-0.03	16.6	18.4	-1.85
Mike James	49	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-11	5	14.6	12.6	2.01	19.0	16.7	2.29
Vince Carter	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-6	-5	13.1	14.4	-1.29	17.1	18.9	-1.79
Dirk Nowitzki	70	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-8	-1	14.0	12.9	1.10	18.4	16.7	1.67
Jae Crowder	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-11	5	14.2	13.3	0.89	19.1	17.1	2.02
Brandan Wright	22	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-13	9	12.1	14.2	-2.07	17.6	18.1	-0.49
Darren Collison	41	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-7	-3	12.7	14.5	-1.77	16.9	18.8	-1.91
O.J. Mayo	71	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	-1	-15	13.9	13.0	0.90	18.3	16.7	1.60
Elton Brand	49	47	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.08	-24	7	-31	13.5	13.9	-0.37	17.1	18.9	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%
HOU 116, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	93.9%
LAC 79, TOR 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0	93.8%